Traders see the minimum temperature in Panama City split nearly evenly between 25°C and 26°C because overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds produced a narrow range near the seasonal baseline. High humidity near 85-90% and scattered showers limited further drops by reducing net longwave radiation loss, while any brief clear intervals allowed marginal additional cooling to the mid-20s. Official station data and model consensus from regional monitoring show the exact low hinged on the timing and coverage of convection, with no major synoptic shift altering the pattern in the preceding 48 hours. This leaves genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes until the final verified reading is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 12?
26°C 99%
24°C 20%
25°C 20%
23°C 8%
$493 Vol.
$493 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 99%
24°C 20%
25°C 20%
23°C 8%
$493 Vol.
$493 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
20°C or below
$141 Vol.
No
21°C
$45 Vol.
No
22°C
$0 Vol.
No
23°C
$0 Vol.
No
24°C
$30 Vol.
No
25°C
$10 Vol.
No
26°C
$222 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$0 Vol.
No
28°C
$15 Vol.
No
29°C
$15 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$15 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the minimum temperature in Panama City split nearly evenly between 25°C and 26°C because overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds produced a narrow range near the seasonal baseline. High humidity near 85-90% and scattered showers limited further drops by reducing net longwave radiation loss, while any brief clear intervals allowed marginal additional cooling to the mid-20s. Official station data and model consensus from regional monitoring show the exact low hinged on the timing and coverage of convection, with no major synoptic shift altering the pattern in the preceding 48 hours. This leaves genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes until the final verified reading is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$493End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the minimum temperature in Panama City split nearly evenly between 25°C and 26°C because overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds produced a narrow range near the seasonal baseline. High humidity near 85-90% and scattered showers limited further drops by reducing net longwave radiation loss, while any brief clear intervals allowed marginal additional cooling to the mid-20s. Official station data and model consensus from regional monitoring show the exact low hinged on the timing and coverage of convection, with no major synoptic shift altering the pattern in the preceding 48 hours. This leaves genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes until the final verified reading is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$493End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the minimum temperature in Panama City split nearly evenly between 25°C and 26°C because overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds produced a narrow range near the seasonal baseline. High humidity near 85-90% and scattered showers limited further drops by reducing net longwave radiation loss, while any brief clear intervals allowed marginal additional cooling to the mid-20s. Official station data and model consensus from regional monitoring show the exact low hinged on the timing and coverage of convection, with no major synoptic shift altering the pattern in the preceding 48 hours. This leaves genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes until the final verified reading is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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