Recent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate that persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered late-day showers are capping Shanghai's daytime maximum at 31°C on June 2. Regional guidance consistently projects this value under overcast skies that reduce solar insolation, aligning with early-summer climatology while preventing excursions higher despite seasonal warming trends. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow uncertainty range in current model runs. Only a rapid clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push the high above this threshold before official daily records close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 2?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$175,564 交易量
$175,564 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$175,564 交易量
$175,564 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate that persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and scattered late-day showers are capping Shanghai's daytime maximum at 31°C on June 2. Regional guidance consistently projects this value under overcast skies that reduce solar insolation, aligning with early-summer climatology while preventing excursions higher despite seasonal warming trends. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow uncertainty range in current model runs. Only a rapid clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push the high above this threshold before official daily records close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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