Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and complementary sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on July 13, driven by typical eastern Mediterranean summer conditions featuring light westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and minimal cloud cover. This range aligns with July climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C and extremes above 34°C remain uncommon without strong subsidence or northerly wind shifts. Recent model runs show little day-to-day volatility, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (20.5%) outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine timing of any minor warming or cooling signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 13?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,924 Vol.
$22,924 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,924 Vol.
$22,924 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
$405 Vol.
No
28°C
$471 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,015 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,460 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,908 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$5,274 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,370 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,003 Vol.
No
35°C
$369 Vol.
No
36°C
$281 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$368 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and complementary sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on July 13, driven by typical eastern Mediterranean summer conditions featuring light westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and minimal cloud cover. This range aligns with July climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C and extremes above 34°C remain uncommon without strong subsidence or northerly wind shifts. Recent model runs show little day-to-day volatility, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (20.5%) outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine timing of any minor warming or cooling signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$22,924End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and complementary sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on July 13, driven by typical eastern Mediterranean summer conditions featuring light westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and minimal cloud cover. This range aligns with July climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C and extremes above 34°C remain uncommon without strong subsidence or northerly wind shifts. Recent model runs show little day-to-day volatility, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (20.5%) outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine timing of any minor warming or cooling signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,924End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecast models from the UK Met Office and complementary sources project a daily maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on July 13, driven by typical eastern Mediterranean summer conditions featuring light westerly flow, sea-breeze moderation, and minimal cloud cover. This range aligns with July climatology, where average highs reach 29–31°C and extremes above 34°C remain uncommon without strong subsidence or northerly wind shifts. Recent model runs show little day-to-day volatility, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward the 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (20.5%) outcomes while assigning low probability to outliers. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours will refine timing of any minor warming or cooling signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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