Strong model consensus from regional and global forecasting systems supports the market's near-certain positioning at exactly 29°C as Tel Aviv's June 13 maximum, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions with moderate sea breezes and limited cloud cover limiting further warming or cooling. Official guidance aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where daily highs average near 28–30°C under clear, dry patterns without significant synoptic forcing. Traders price negligible probability for deviations because ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value through the afternoon peak measurement window. Only a rapid, unforecasted shift—such as an unexpected marine layer or localized thunderstorm—could alter the recorded high before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 13?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,189 Vol.
$55,189 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,189 Vol.
$55,189 Vol.
Jun 13, 2026
24°C or below
$2,515 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,563 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,852 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,268 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,389 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,014 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$4,185 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,993 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,594 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,769 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,046 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from regional and global forecasting systems supports the market's near-certain positioning at exactly 29°C as Tel Aviv's June 13 maximum, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions with moderate sea breezes and limited cloud cover limiting further warming or cooling. Official guidance aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where daily highs average near 28–30°C under clear, dry patterns without significant synoptic forcing. Traders price negligible probability for deviations because ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value through the afternoon peak measurement window. Only a rapid, unforecasted shift—such as an unexpected marine layer or localized thunderstorm—could alter the recorded high before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$55,189End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from regional and global forecasting systems supports the market's near-certain positioning at exactly 29°C as Tel Aviv's June 13 maximum, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions with moderate sea breezes and limited cloud cover limiting further warming or cooling. Official guidance aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where daily highs average near 28–30°C under clear, dry patterns without significant synoptic forcing. Traders price negligible probability for deviations because ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value through the afternoon peak measurement window. Only a rapid, unforecasted shift—such as an unexpected marine layer or localized thunderstorm—could alter the recorded high before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,189End Date
Jun 13, 2026Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Strong model consensus from regional and global forecasting systems supports the market's near-certain positioning at exactly 29°C as Tel Aviv's June 13 maximum, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions with moderate sea breezes and limited cloud cover limiting further warming or cooling. Official guidance aligns with typical early-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where daily highs average near 28–30°C under clear, dry patterns without significant synoptic forcing. Traders price negligible probability for deviations because ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value through the afternoon peak measurement window. Only a rapid, unforecasted shift—such as an unexpected marine layer or localized thunderstorm—could alter the recorded high before official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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