Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on June 26?
Highest temperature in Toronto on June 26?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$64,494 Vol.
$64,494 Vol.
26 juin 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$64,494 Vol.
$64,494 Vol.
26 juin 2026
19°C or below
$2,026 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,852 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,115 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,979 Vol.
No
23°C
$9,441 Vol.
No
24°C
$16,400 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$11,387 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,188 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,451 Vol.
No
28°C
$509 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$1,146 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$64,494Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,494Date de fin
26 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and private forecasters points to a high of 23–24 °C in Toronto on 26 June under partly cloudy skies and a modest chance of showers. This narrow range explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around those two outcomes. Differentiation hinges on subtle variables: daytime solar insolation under broken cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing tied to a weak surface trough, and the precise timing of any convective cells that could briefly suppress the maximum. Ensemble spreads remain modest because large-scale ridging is already established, yet small shifts in low-level moisture or wind direction can still tip the peak by 1 °C. Updated short-range guidance issued later today will likely tighten or widen that spread ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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