Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 5 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 5 juillet ?
24°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$36,611 Vol.
$36,611 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$36,611 Vol.
$36,611 Vol.
5 juil. 2026
21°C ou moins
$2,065 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,191 Vol.
Non
23°C
$2,132 Vol.
Non
24°C
$4,612 Vol.
Oui
25°C
$7,542 Vol.
Non
26°C
$5,682 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,389 Vol.
Non
28°C
$2,747 Vol.
Non
29°C
$2,767 Vol.
Non
30°C
$2,606 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$2,878 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$36,611Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,611Date de fin
5 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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