Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 3 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 3 juillet ?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F ou moins <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71 °F <1%
$99,666 Vol.
$99,666 Vol.
3 juil. 2026
67°F ou moins
Non
68-69°F
Non
70-71 °F
Non
72-73°F
Oui
74-75 °F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79°F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82-83 °F
Non
84-85 °F
Non
86°F ou plus
Non
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F ou moins <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71 °F <1%
$99,666 Vol.
$99,666 Vol.
3 juil. 2026
67°F ou moins
$1,010 Vol.
Non
68-69°F
$5,165 Vol.
Non
70-71 °F
$23,424 Vol.
Non
72-73°F
$24,595 Vol.
Oui
74-75 °F
$11,600 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$7,117 Vol.
Non
78-79°F
$10,496 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$3,457 Vol.
Non
82-83 °F
$3,512 Vol.
Non
84-85 °F
$7,459 Vol.
Non
86°F ou plus
$1,831 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$99,666Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99,666Date de fin
3 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow moderating temperatures across coastal Los Angeles on July 3, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 72–73 °F bin (41 % implied probability). Long-term July averages place daily highs near 81 °F, yet early-month coastal readings frequently settle 5–8 °F lower when stratus persists, consistent with observed highs around 71–74 °F in the final days of June. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore wind event, keeping 70–75 °F ranges favored while capping upside risk for 76 °F or higher outcomes below 10 % combined. Updated short-range forecasts through the holiday weekend will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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