Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 22, driven by official MetService observations confirming a midday peak of around 12°C (54°F) amid persistent gale-force southerly winds. Following record rainfall and flooding from April 20-21, this cool airflow from Antarctic latitudes has suppressed daytime heating, with 3-hourly data showing evening readings at 11°C and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Forecast model consensus from MetService aligned closely, projecting highs near 11-13°C under these stable, windy conditions atypical for autumn but consistent with post-frontal patterns. A late-day wind shift or unexpected clearing could theoretically push toward 13°C, though current trends and proximity to resolution make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 22?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$116,829 Vol.
$116,829 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$116,829 Vol.
$116,829 Vol.
Apr 22, 2026
6°C or below
$2,724 Vol.
No
7°C
$3,624 Vol.
No
8°C
$4,237 Vol.
No
9°C
$6,386 Vol.
No
10°C
$12,627 Vol.
No
11°C
$9,729 Vol.
No
12°C
$18,555 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$14,457 Vol.
No
14°C
$27,455 Vol.
No
15°C
$8,390 Vol.
No
16°C or higher
$8,648 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 22, driven by official MetService observations confirming a midday peak of around 12°C (54°F) amid persistent gale-force southerly winds. Following record rainfall and flooding from April 20-21, this cool airflow from Antarctic latitudes has suppressed daytime heating, with 3-hourly data showing evening readings at 11°C and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Forecast model consensus from MetService aligned closely, projecting highs near 11-13°C under these stable, windy conditions atypical for autumn but consistent with post-frontal patterns. A late-day wind shift or unexpected clearing could theoretically push toward 13°C, though current trends and proximity to resolution make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$116,829End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 22, driven by official MetService observations confirming a midday peak of around 12°C (54°F) amid persistent gale-force southerly winds. Following record rainfall and flooding from April 20-21, this cool airflow from Antarctic latitudes has suppressed daytime heating, with 3-hourly data showing evening readings at 11°C and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Forecast model consensus from MetService aligned closely, projecting highs near 11-13°C under these stable, windy conditions atypical for autumn but consistent with post-frontal patterns. A late-day wind shift or unexpected clearing could theoretically push toward 13°C, though current trends and proximity to resolution make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$116,829End Date
Apr 22, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 22, driven by official MetService observations confirming a midday peak of around 12°C (54°F) amid persistent gale-force southerly winds. Following record rainfall and flooding from April 20-21, this cool airflow from Antarctic latitudes has suppressed daytime heating, with 3-hourly data showing evening readings at 11°C and scattered showers limiting solar insolation. Forecast model consensus from MetService aligned closely, projecting highs near 11-13°C under these stable, windy conditions atypical for autumn but consistent with post-frontal patterns. A late-day wind shift or unexpected clearing could theoretically push toward 13°C, though current trends and proximity to resolution make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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