Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 26?
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 Vol.
$173,811 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 Vol.
$173,811 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
5°C or below
$31,253 Vol.
No
6°C
$10,696 Vol.
No
7°C
$2,737 Vol.
No
8°C
$13,339 Vol.
No
9°C
$9,320 Vol.
No
10°C
$50,732 Vol.
No
11°C
$22,108 Vol.
Yes
12°C
$11,562 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,765 Vol.
No
14°C
$7,310 Vol.
No
15°C or higher
$6,988 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$173,811End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$173,811End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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