Adam Hamilton leads the Kansas Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat held by Republican incumbent Roger Marshall, with traders assigning him 78% odds due to his rapid early fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week after his April 30 entry and strong name recognition as senior pastor of one of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregations. A crowded field of roughly 10 declared candidates, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and others with lower profiles or prior runs, has not produced competitive polling or resources to challenge this position ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent attacks on Hamilton’s church leadership regarding a past abuse allegation have generated limited traction in coverage or market movement. The primary winner will face Marshall in November in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since the 1930s.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAdam Hamilton 79%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.3%
Sharice Davids 3.7%
Patrick Schmidt 2.4%
$133,961 Vol.
$133,961 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
79%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Sharice Davids
4%
Patrick Schmidt
2%
Christy Davis
1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Kevin Latz
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Adam Hamilton 79%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.3%
Sharice Davids 3.7%
Patrick Schmidt 2.4%
$133,961 Vol.
$133,961 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
79%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Sharice Davids
4%
Patrick Schmidt
2%
Christy Davis
1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Kevin Latz
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton leads the Kansas Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat held by Republican incumbent Roger Marshall, with traders assigning him 78% odds due to his rapid early fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week after his April 30 entry and strong name recognition as senior pastor of one of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregations. A crowded field of roughly 10 declared candidates, including state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and others with lower profiles or prior runs, has not produced competitive polling or resources to challenge this position ahead of the August 4 primary. Recent attacks on Hamilton’s church leadership regarding a past abuse allegation have generated limited traction in coverage or market movement. The primary winner will face Marshall in November in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since the 1930s.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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