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Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Adam Hamilton 96.0%

Christy Davis 2.3%

Sandy Spidel Neumann <1%

Patrick Schmidt <1%

Polymarket

$172,682 Vol.

Adam Hamilton 96.0%

Christy Davis 2.3%

Sandy Spidel Neumann <1%

Patrick Schmidt <1%

Polymarket

$172,682 Vol.

icon for Adam Hamilton

Adam Hamilton

$29,024 Vol.

96%

icon for Christy Davis

Christy Davis

$39,227 Vol.

2%

icon for Sandy Spidel Neumann

Sandy Spidel Neumann

$38,412 Vol.

1%

icon for Patrick Schmidt

Patrick Schmidt

$23,268 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sharice Davids

Sharice Davids

$6,398 Vol.

<1%

icon for Erik Murray

Erik Murray

$2,456 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noah Taylor

Noah Taylor

$2,906 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Soetaert

Michael Soetaert

$4,306 Vol.

<1%

icon for Damon Anderson

Damon Anderson

$1,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jason Hart

Jason Hart

$2,590 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anne Parelkar

Anne Parelkar

$19,979 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kevin Latz

Kevin Latz

$2,188 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Adam Hamilton holds a commanding lead in the Kansas Democratic Senate primary due to his substantial fundraising advantage—over $3.6 million raised compared to far smaller totals for rivals—and high name recognition as a prominent Leawood pastor. His campaign emphasizes cross-partisan problem-solving in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 1932, positioning him as the consensus choice among Democratic primary voters ahead of the August 4 vote. Other declared candidates, including Christy Davis and Jason Hart, lack comparable resources or visibility. Traders price in this structural edge while noting that primary outcomes could still shift from unusually low turnout, last-minute endorsements, or unexpected developments in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$172,682
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Adam Hamilton holds a commanding lead in the Kansas Democratic Senate primary due to his substantial fundraising advantage—over $3.6 million raised compared to far smaller totals for rivals—and high name recognition as a prominent Leawood pastor. His campaign emphasizes cross-partisan problem-solving in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 1932, positioning him as the consensus choice among Democratic primary voters ahead of the August 4 vote. Other declared candidates, including Christy Davis and Jason Hart, lack comparable resources or visibility. Traders price in this structural edge while noting that primary outcomes could still shift from unusually low turnout, last-minute endorsements, or unexpected developments in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$172,682
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Hamilton" at 96%, followed by "Christy Davis" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $172.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Adam Hamilton" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christy Davis" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.