Kroger's full-year 2026 identical sales without fuel guidance of 1.0%–2.0% incorporates a roughly 130-basis-point headwind from the Inflation Reduction Act, with management signaling that Q1 results are likely to land near the lower end of that range amid egg-price deflation and selective consumer spending. Recent quarters showed stronger momentum—2.4% in Q4 2025 and 2.9% for fiscal 2025—driven by pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories, yet analysts note ongoing margin pressure from value investments and competitive intensity in groceries. With Q1 earnings due imminently and trader-implied odds nearly even between sub-1% and 1%–1.5% growth, the market prices in uncertainty around commodity deflation, volume trends, and whether productivity gains can offset these near-term headwinds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1%–1.5% 99.2%
<1% <1%
1.5%–2% <1%
2%+ <1%
$83,051 Vol.
$83,051 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
<1%
No
1%–1.5%
Yes
1.5%–2%
No
2%+
No
1%–1.5% 99.2%
<1% <1%
1.5%–2% <1%
2%+ <1%
$83,051 Vol.
$83,051 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
<1%
$21,737 Vol.
No
1%–1.5%
$20,341 Vol.
Yes
1.5%–2%
$21,712 Vol.
No
2%+
$19,262 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Kroger's full-year 2026 identical sales without fuel guidance of 1.0%–2.0% incorporates a roughly 130-basis-point headwind from the Inflation Reduction Act, with management signaling that Q1 results are likely to land near the lower end of that range amid egg-price deflation and selective consumer spending. Recent quarters showed stronger momentum—2.4% in Q4 2025 and 2.9% for fiscal 2025—driven by pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories, yet analysts note ongoing margin pressure from value investments and competitive intensity in groceries. With Q1 earnings due imminently and trader-implied odds nearly even between sub-1% and 1%–1.5% growth, the market prices in uncertainty around commodity deflation, volume trends, and whether productivity gains can offset these near-term headwinds.
This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 24, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Volume
$83,051End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Kroger's full-year 2026 identical sales without fuel guidance of 1.0%–2.0% incorporates a roughly 130-basis-point headwind from the Inflation Reduction Act, with management signaling that Q1 results are likely to land near the lower end of that range amid egg-price deflation and selective consumer spending. Recent quarters showed stronger momentum—2.4% in Q4 2025 and 2.9% for fiscal 2025—driven by pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories, yet analysts note ongoing margin pressure from value investments and competitive intensity in groceries. With Q1 earnings due imminently and trader-implied odds nearly even between sub-1% and 1%–1.5% growth, the market prices in uncertainty around commodity deflation, volume trends, and whether productivity gains can offset these near-term headwinds.
This market will resolve according to Kroger's announced identical sales without fuel growth for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$83,051End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Kroger's full-year 2026 identical sales without fuel guidance of 1.0%–2.0% incorporates a roughly 130-basis-point headwind from the Inflation Reduction Act, with management signaling that Q1 results are likely to land near the lower end of that range amid egg-price deflation and selective consumer spending. Recent quarters showed stronger momentum—2.4% in Q4 2025 and 2.9% for fiscal 2025—driven by pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories, yet analysts note ongoing margin pressure from value investments and competitive intensity in groceries. With Q1 earnings due imminently and trader-implied odds nearly even between sub-1% and 1%–1.5% growth, the market prices in uncertainty around commodity deflation, volume trends, and whether productivity gains can offset these near-term headwinds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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