Trader consensus favors Deportivo Alavés at 45.5% implied probability in this closely contested La Liga relegation six-pointer at Mendizorroza, driven by their solid home form including recent draws against CA Osasuna (2-2) and a high-scoring 3-3 at Real Sociedad, bolstering defensive resilience amid a 15th-place standing. RCD Mallorca's 23.5% reflects their dismal away record despite a morale-boosting 2-1 upset over Real Madrid last weekend, which snapped a run of losses like the 2-1 defeat at Elche. The elevated 29.5% draw pricing aligns with head-to-head trends—three stalemates in the last six meetings—and both sides' low-scoring tendencies in the table's lower reaches, where Alavés hold a slight edge in survival fight positioning. Limited injury disruptions, with Mallorca missing Jan Salas (cruciate) and Mateo Joseph (knee), further tilts sentiment toward the hosts without decisive shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Deportivo Alavés wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Deportivo Alavés wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Deportivo Alavés at 45.5% implied probability in this closely contested La Liga relegation six-pointer at Mendizorroza, driven by their solid home form including recent draws against CA Osasuna (2-2) and a high-scoring 3-3 at Real Sociedad, bolstering defensive resilience amid a 15th-place standing. RCD Mallorca's 23.5% reflects their dismal away record despite a morale-boosting 2-1 upset over Real Madrid last weekend, which snapped a run of losses like the 2-1 defeat at Elche. The elevated 29.5% draw pricing aligns with head-to-head trends—three stalemates in the last six meetings—and both sides' low-scoring tendencies in the table's lower reaches, where Alavés hold a slight edge in survival fight positioning. Limited injury disruptions, with Mallorca missing Jan Salas (cruciate) and Mateo Joseph (knee), further tilts sentiment toward the hosts without decisive shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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