Official temperature observations from Miami on May 26 recorded a daily minimum in the 80-81°F range, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Late-May subtropical conditions, including warm Gulf Stream influence and persistent southeasterly winds, typically suppress overnight cooling and support elevated lows compared to earlier spring baselines. National Weather Service data releases aligned closely with trader positioning, leaving little room for revision. Only an unusual station discrepancy or post-event data adjustment could alter the outcome, scenarios that remain rare given standardized reporting protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on May 26?
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$11,541 Vol.
$11,541 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$11,541 Vol.
$11,541 Vol.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official temperature observations from Miami on May 26 recorded a daily minimum in the 80-81°F range, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Late-May subtropical conditions, including warm Gulf Stream influence and persistent southeasterly winds, typically suppress overnight cooling and support elevated lows compared to earlier spring baselines. National Weather Service data releases aligned closely with trader positioning, leaving little room for revision. Only an unusual station discrepancy or post-event data adjustment could alter the outcome, scenarios that remain rare given standardized reporting protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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