Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that Meta (META) stock closes the week of March 23, 2025, above $580, driven primarily by sustained momentum from the company's aggressive AI infrastructure buildout, including recent announcements of $65 billion in 2025 capex for data centers and custom silicon. Shares have rallied 15% YTD amid Llama 3.1 model benchmarks rivaling GPT-4o, bolstering ad targeting efficiency and Reality Labs growth despite AR/VR losses. Competitive pressures from OpenAI's Orion glasses demo and Google's Gemini updates add volatility, but no major catalysts like Q1 earnings (April 30) loom this week—watch Friday's close against Nasdaq trends for resolution. Regulatory scrutiny on data privacy remains a tail risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$550
93%
$560
86%
$570
81%
$580
71%
$590
58%
$600
44%
$610
32%
$620
22%
$630
15%
$640
12%
$650
10%
$660
9%
$670
20%
$5 Vol.
$550
93%
$560
86%
$570
81%
$580
71%
$590
58%
$600
44%
$610
32%
$620
22%
$630
15%
$640
12%
$650
10%
$660
9%
$670
20%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that Meta (META) stock closes the week of March 23, 2025, above $580, driven primarily by sustained momentum from the company's aggressive AI infrastructure buildout, including recent announcements of $65 billion in 2025 capex for data centers and custom silicon. Shares have rallied 15% YTD amid Llama 3.1 model benchmarks rivaling GPT-4o, bolstering ad targeting efficiency and Reality Labs growth despite AR/VR losses. Competitive pressures from OpenAI's Orion glasses demo and Google's Gemini updates add volatility, but no major catalysts like Q1 earnings (April 30) loom this week—watch Friday's close against Nasdaq trends for resolution. Regulatory scrutiny on data privacy remains a tail risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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