Montana’s 2026 U.S. Senate contest features an open seat after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew minutes before the filing deadline and endorsed Republican Kurt Alme, who received additional backing from President Trump and won the June 2 GOP primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote. The state’s longstanding Republican lean, combined with unified party support and Alme’s fundraising edge, underpins the 74.5 percent Republican odds. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president who resigned to enter the race, draws 24.8 percent on name recognition and former Sen. Jon Tester’s support, though the three-way general election ballot splits non-Republican support. Democrat Alani Bankhead, who won her June 2 primary, remains at 0.9 percent amid limited statewide visibility. Low overall candidate familiarity and the November 3 general election timeline keep trader focus on these structural and primary results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 75%
无党派人士 24.8%
民主党 <1%
$79,149 交易量
$79,149 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
无党派人士
25%
民主党
1%
共和党 75%
无党派人士 24.8%
民主党 <1%
$79,149 交易量
$79,149 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$39,766 交易量
75%
无党派人士
$2,586 交易量
25%
民主党
$36,797 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana’s 2026 U.S. Senate contest features an open seat after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew minutes before the filing deadline and endorsed Republican Kurt Alme, who received additional backing from President Trump and won the June 2 GOP primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote. The state’s longstanding Republican lean, combined with unified party support and Alme’s fundraising edge, underpins the 74.5 percent Republican odds. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president who resigned to enter the race, draws 24.8 percent on name recognition and former Sen. Jon Tester’s support, though the three-way general election ballot splits non-Republican support. Democrat Alani Bankhead, who won her June 2 primary, remains at 0.9 percent amid limited statewide visibility. Low overall candidate familiarity and the November 3 general election timeline keep trader focus on these structural and primary results.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$79,149结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana’s 2026 U.S. Senate contest features an open seat after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew minutes before the filing deadline and endorsed Republican Kurt Alme, who received additional backing from President Trump and won the June 2 GOP primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote. The state’s longstanding Republican lean, combined with unified party support and Alme’s fundraising edge, underpins the 74.5 percent Republican odds. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president who resigned to enter the race, draws 24.8 percent on name recognition and former Sen. Jon Tester’s support, though the three-way general election ballot splits non-Republican support. Democrat Alani Bankhead, who won her June 2 primary, remains at 0.9 percent amid limited statewide visibility. Low overall candidate familiarity and the November 3 general election timeline keep trader focus on these structural and primary results.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$79,149结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 2026 U.S. Senate contest features an open seat after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew minutes before the filing deadline and endorsed Republican Kurt Alme, who received additional backing from President Trump and won the June 2 GOP primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote. The state’s longstanding Republican lean, combined with unified party support and Alme’s fundraising edge, underpins the 74.5 percent Republican odds. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president who resigned to enter the race, draws 24.8 percent on name recognition and former Sen. Jon Tester’s support, though the three-way general election ballot splits non-Republican support. Democrat Alani Bankhead, who won her June 2 primary, remains at 0.9 percent amid limited statewide visibility. Low overall candidate familiarity and the November 3 general election timeline keep trader focus on these structural and primary results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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