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Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on April 17?

Market icon

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on April 17?

$2,378 Vol.

Apr 17, 2026
Polymarket

$2,378 Vol.

Polymarket

$390

$568 Vol.

Yes

$400

$223 Vol.

Yes

$410

$413 Vol.

Yes

$420

$843 Vol.

Yes

$430

$330 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares are trading around $423 midday on April 17, up roughly 1% from the prior close of $420 amid a three-day rally exceeding 10%, fueled by renewed optimism over Azure cloud growth and AI integrations like Copilot amid easing competition concerns. This positions the stock above key intraday lows near $421 while testing recent highs above $430, with Polymarket trader consensus implying balanced odds for closes above $420 (43%) versus lower strikes like $410 (86%). Analyst price targets average $580, supported by expectations for Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings on April 29, projecting 20%+ EPS expansion to $16.46 from robust revenue trends. End-of-day volume and Nasdaq cues remain pivotal for resolution, with volatility elevated pre-earnings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$2,378
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 8:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) shares are trading around $423 midday on April 17, up roughly 1% from the prior close of $420 amid a three-day rally exceeding 10%, fueled by renewed optimism over Azure cloud growth and AI integrations like Copilot amid easing competition concerns. This positions the stock above key intraday lows near $421 while testing recent highs above $430, with Polymarket trader consensus implying balanced odds for closes above $420 (43%) versus lower strikes like $410 (86%). Analyst price targets average $580, supported by expectations for Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings on April 29, projecting 20%+ EPS expansion to $16.46 from robust revenue trends. End-of-day volume and Nasdaq cues remain pivotal for resolution, with volatility elevated pre-earnings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$2,378
End Date
Apr 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 8:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 17 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on April 17?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$390" at 100%, followed by "$400" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on April 17?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on April 17?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on April 17?" is "$390" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$400" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on April 17?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.