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icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 38.8%

Callum Turner 26.5%

No Bond chosen 21.5%

Jack Barton 6.9%

Polymarket

$984,362 Vol.

Jack Lowden 38.8%

Callum Turner 26.5%

No Bond chosen 21.5%

Jack Barton 6.9%

Polymarket

$984,362 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$169,739 Vol.

39%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$75,502 Vol.

26%

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$448,240 Vol.

22%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$44,146 Vol.

7%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$11,361 Vol.

3%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$15,479 Vol.

2%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$22,545 Vol.

2%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$13,432 Vol.

1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$22,257 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$10,223 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$11,880 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$11,663 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$29,646 Vol.

1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$14,958 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$9,424 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$8,915 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$5,263 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$14,187 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$7,356 Vol.

<1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$8,519 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$8,972 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$8,354 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$6,267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$6,033 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden leads Polymarket’s next James Bond market at 38.7% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman and positioning on the shortlist for screen tests alongside Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and Harris Dickinson. Traders have reacted to Oldman’s public comments hoping Lowden lands the role, combined with reports of auditions narrowing the field to younger British actors suited to the spy franchise under director Denis Villeneuve. Turner holds second at 26.8% on the strength of Masters of the Air visibility and prior frontrunner status, while “No Bond chosen” at 21.6% reflects the timeline for an expected announcement by year-end. Screenwriter Steven Knight’s remarks and producer Amy Pascal’s confirmation of methodical casting have reinforced the current market hierarchy ahead of further updates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$984,362
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jack Lowden leads Polymarket’s next James Bond market at 38.7% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman and positioning on the shortlist for screen tests alongside Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and Harris Dickinson. Traders have reacted to Oldman’s public comments hoping Lowden lands the role, combined with reports of auditions narrowing the field to younger British actors suited to the spy franchise under director Denis Villeneuve. Turner holds second at 26.8% on the strength of Masters of the Air visibility and prior frontrunner status, while “No Bond chosen” at 21.6% reflects the timeline for an expected announcement by year-end. Screenwriter Steven Knight’s remarks and producer Amy Pascal’s confirmation of methodical casting have reinforced the current market hierarchy ahead of further updates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$984,362
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 39%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $984.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Jack Lowden" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.