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Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

Market icon
Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

Didier Deschamps 75%

Unai Emery 45%

Enzo Maresca 25%

Robert De Zerbi 15.4%

Polymarket

$23,987 Vol.

Didier Deschamps 75%

Unai Emery 45%

Enzo Maresca 25%

Robert De Zerbi 15.4%

Polymarket

$23,987 Vol.

Didier Deschamps

$237 Vol.

75%

Unai Emery

$156 Vol.

45%

Enzo Maresca

$2,951 Vol.

25%

Robert De Zerbi

$60 Vol.

15%

Jurgen Klopp

$9,232 Vol.

14%

Andoni Iraola

$25 Vol.

13%

Jose Mourinho

$1,454 Vol.

13%

Mauricio Pochettino

$0 Vol.

11%

Zinedine Zidane

$1,763 Vol.

6%

Mikel Arteta

$195 Vol.

15%

Massimiliano Allegri

$7,757 Vol.

4%

Oliver Glasner

$28 Vol.

12%

Thomas Tuchel

$0 Vol.

1%

Luis Enrique

$130 Vol.

18%

Julian Nagelsmann

$0 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors club legend Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain Real Madrid head coach, bolstered by his January promotion from Castilla amid internal stability preferences and contract through 2027, despite mounting pressure from a UCL quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 14—marked by a controversial red card to Eduardo Camavinga—and a second-place La Liga standing nine points behind Barcelona after 31 matches. Unai Emery's 40.5% reflects ongoing talks highlighted in late-winter reports praising his tactical discipline at Aston Villa. Recent shortlist additions, including France's Didier Deschamps (37.5%) post-2026 World Cup availability and Julian Nagelsmann (37.0%) via exclusive leaks, signal board contingency planning as title hopes fade.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,987
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors club legend Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to remain Real Madrid head coach, bolstered by his January promotion from Castilla amid internal stability preferences and contract through 2027, despite mounting pressure from a UCL quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 14—marked by a controversial red card to Eduardo Camavinga—and a second-place La Liga standing nine points behind Barcelona after 31 matches. Unai Emery's 40.5% reflects ongoing talks highlighted in late-winter reports praising his tactical discipline at Aston Villa. Recent shortlist additions, including France's Didier Deschamps (37.5%) post-2026 World Cup availability and Julian Nagelsmann (37.0%) via exclusive leaks, signal board contingency planning as title hopes fade.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,987
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Real Madrid manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Unai Emery" at 45%, followed by "Didier Deschamps" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Real Madrid manager?" has generated $24K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Real Madrid manager?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Real Madrid manager?" is "Unai Emery" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Didier Deschamps" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Real Madrid manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.