Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 13 around $102, with implied probabilities evenly split at 50% across all price bins from $60-$70 to >$150, underscoring a closely contested market ahead of the critical Q1 2026 earnings release on April 16. Recent price hikes implemented in late March have bolstered revenue expectations and advertising tier momentum, driving a 2.7% share gain to $102.09 on April 9 amid analyst upgrades like Oppenheimer's $135 target, yet heavier 2026 content spending raises margin concerns. Competitive dynamics favor NFLX's subscriber growth and password-sharing crackdown versus rivals like Disney, but earnings beats on paid net adds, ARPU expansion, and forward guidance will determine post-report volatility, with options implying a 6.94% move.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$60 98%
$60-$70 98%
$140-$150 98%
>$150 98%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
<$60
98%
$60-$70
98%
$70-$80
49%
$80-$90
49%
$90-$100
49%
$100-$110
49%
$110-$120
49%
$120-$130
48%
$130-$140
97%
$140-$150
98%
>$150
98%
<$60 98%
$60-$70 98%
$140-$150 98%
>$150 98%
NEW
NEW
Apr 17, 2026
<$60
$30 Vol.
98%
$60-$70
$30 Vol.
98%
$70-$80
$0 Vol.
49%
$80-$90
$0 Vol.
49%
$90-$100
$0 Vol.
49%
$100-$110
$0 Vol.
49%
$110-$120
$0 Vol.
49%
$120-$130
$0 Vol.
48%
$130-$140
$30 Vol.
97%
$140-$150
$30 Vol.
98%
>$150
$30 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 13 around $102, with implied probabilities evenly split at 50% across all price bins from $60-$70 to >$150, underscoring a closely contested market ahead of the critical Q1 2026 earnings release on April 16. Recent price hikes implemented in late March have bolstered revenue expectations and advertising tier momentum, driving a 2.7% share gain to $102.09 on April 9 amid analyst upgrades like Oppenheimer's $135 target, yet heavier 2026 content spending raises margin concerns. Competitive dynamics favor NFLX's subscriber growth and password-sharing crackdown versus rivals like Disney, but earnings beats on paid net adds, ARPU expansion, and forward guidance will determine post-report volatility, with options implying a 6.94% move.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Volume
$150End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 13 around $102, with implied probabilities evenly split at 50% across all price bins from $60-$70 to >$150, underscoring a closely contested market ahead of the critical Q1 2026 earnings release on April 16. Recent price hikes implemented in late March have bolstered revenue expectations and advertising tier momentum, driving a 2.7% share gain to $102.09 on April 9 amid analyst upgrades like Oppenheimer's $135 target, yet heavier 2026 content spending raises margin concerns. Competitive dynamics favor NFLX's subscriber growth and password-sharing crackdown versus rivals like Disney, but earnings beats on paid net adds, ARPU expansion, and forward guidance will determine post-report volatility, with options implying a 6.94% move.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$150End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders reflect deep uncertainty in Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of April 13 around $102, with implied probabilities evenly split at 50% across all price bins from $60-$70 to >$150, underscoring a closely contested market ahead of the critical Q1 2026 earnings release on April 16. Recent price hikes implemented in late March have bolstered revenue expectations and advertising tier momentum, driving a 2.7% share gain to $102.09 on April 9 amid analyst upgrades like Oppenheimer's $135 target, yet heavier 2026 content spending raises margin concerns. Competitive dynamics favor NFLX's subscriber growth and password-sharing crackdown versus rivals like Disney, but earnings beats on paid net adds, ARPU expansion, and forward guidance will determine post-report volatility, with options implying a 6.94% move.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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