Polymarket traders price Netflix (NFLX) shares for a week-of-April-20 close in a narrow band, with 48% implied probability for $100-$110 and 46.6% for $120-$130, reflecting post-earnings volatility after Q1 2026 results on April 16 beat expectations (EPS $1.23 vs. $0.76 consensus, revenue up) but disappointed on Q2 guidance ($0.78 EPS vs. $0.84 expected) and co-founder Reed Hastings' board exit announcement. Shares plunged 11% to around $97, prompting multiple compression on tempered growth outlook amid ad-tier scaling and streaming competition from Amazon and YouTube. Analyst consensus targets $114-$115, with key swing factors including engagement metrics, buyback execution, and sector risk appetite ahead of the April 25 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$100-$110 48%
$90-$100 47%
$120-$130 46.2%
$80-$90 46%
<$60
2%
$60-$70
2%
$70-$80
1%
$80-$90
46%
$90-$100
47%
$100-$110
48%
$110-$120
10%
$120-$130
46%
$130-$140
41%
$140-$150
43%
>$150
43%
$100-$110 48%
$90-$100 47%
$120-$130 46.2%
$80-$90 46%
<$60
2%
$60-$70
2%
$70-$80
1%
$80-$90
46%
$90-$100
47%
$100-$110
48%
$110-$120
10%
$120-$130
46%
$130-$140
41%
$140-$150
43%
>$150
43%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price Netflix (NFLX) shares for a week-of-April-20 close in a narrow band, with 48% implied probability for $100-$110 and 46.6% for $120-$130, reflecting post-earnings volatility after Q1 2026 results on April 16 beat expectations (EPS $1.23 vs. $0.76 consensus, revenue up) but disappointed on Q2 guidance ($0.78 EPS vs. $0.84 expected) and co-founder Reed Hastings' board exit announcement. Shares plunged 11% to around $97, prompting multiple compression on tempered growth outlook amid ad-tier scaling and streaming competition from Amazon and YouTube. Analyst consensus targets $114-$115, with key swing factors including engagement metrics, buyback execution, and sector risk appetite ahead of the April 25 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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