Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 5000-5500 US flight delays on March 24, reflecting typical spring patterns amid mild weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and New York. Recent FAA data shows daily averages hovering around 5200 delays in late March 2024, driven by routine factors such as crew shortages and minor mechanical issues rather than systemic outages. No major storms or strikes loom, per National Weather Service outlooks, though spring break volume could nudge totals higher; lower bins like under 5000 gain traction from recent smoother operations post-winter disruptions, while tails above 7500 price in slim risks of unforeseen ATC glitches or East Coast fronts. Odds underscore crowd wisdom on stable aviation metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated5000-5500 49.6%
6000-6500 17%
5500-6000 17%
6500-7000 11%
$7,773 Vol.
$7,773 Vol.
<5000
10%
5000-5500
50%
5500-6000
17%
6000-6500
17%
6500-7000
16%
7000-7500
3%
7500-8000
3%
>8000
5%
5000-5500 49.6%
6000-6500 17%
5500-6000 17%
6500-7000 11%
$7,773 Vol.
$7,773 Vol.
<5000
10%
5000-5500
50%
5500-6000
17%
6000-6500
17%
6500-7000
16%
7000-7500
3%
7500-8000
3%
>8000
5%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 5000-5500 US flight delays on March 24, reflecting typical spring patterns amid mild weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and New York. Recent FAA data shows daily averages hovering around 5200 delays in late March 2024, driven by routine factors such as crew shortages and minor mechanical issues rather than systemic outages. No major storms or strikes loom, per National Weather Service outlooks, though spring break volume could nudge totals higher; lower bins like under 5000 gain traction from recent smoother operations post-winter disruptions, while tails above 7500 price in slim risks of unforeseen ATC glitches or East Coast fronts. Odds underscore crowd wisdom on stable aviation metrics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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