NVIDIA's share price faces a closely contested week-of-June-29 close, with multiple $5-wide bins from below $175 through above $220 each carrying roughly 49% implied probability. This narrow clustering reflects uncertainty ahead of potential AI-demand updates, margin trends, and broader semiconductor sector flows amid evolving monetary-policy expectations. Traders are weighing recent revenue growth against competitive pressures from custom chips and potential regulatory scrutiny, while monitoring Treasury yields and equity-market volatility for risk-appetite signals. The tight distribution highlights how near-term catalysts—such as any pre-holiday data releases or analyst revisions—could shift the resolution across adjacent ranges without a dominant consensus emerging yet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$175 43%
$195-$200 43%
$205-$210 43%
$185-$190 40%
<$175
43%
$175-$180
38%
$180-$185
38%
$185-$190
40%
$190-$195
35%
$195-$200
43%
$200-$205
38%
$205-$210
43%
$210-$215
37%
$215-$220
39%
>$220
37%
<$175 43%
$195-$200 43%
$205-$210 43%
$185-$190 40%
<$175
43%
$175-$180
38%
$180-$185
38%
$185-$190
40%
$190-$195
35%
$195-$200
43%
$200-$205
38%
$205-$210
43%
$210-$215
37%
$215-$220
39%
>$220
37%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA's share price faces a closely contested week-of-June-29 close, with multiple $5-wide bins from below $175 through above $220 each carrying roughly 49% implied probability. This narrow clustering reflects uncertainty ahead of potential AI-demand updates, margin trends, and broader semiconductor sector flows amid evolving monetary-policy expectations. Traders are weighing recent revenue growth against competitive pressures from custom chips and potential regulatory scrutiny, while monitoring Treasury yields and equity-market volatility for risk-appetite signals. The tight distribution highlights how near-term catalysts—such as any pre-holiday data releases or analyst revisions—could shift the resolution across adjacent ranges without a dominant consensus emerging yet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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