NVIDIA's upcoming May 20 earnings report stands as the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment for the stock's weekly close, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 37% and 43.5% across the $215–$235 ranges. Recent price action around the $215–$220 level reflects a post-April pullback from highs near $217, while consensus estimates point to revenue near $78.5 billion and EPS of $1.77, both reflecting over 70% year-over-year growth driven by data-center demand. Traders appear to weigh potential upside from strong AI infrastructure results against risks of tempered guidance on Blackwell ramp or supply-chain constraints, creating a balanced distribution of outcomes rather than strong directional conviction. The proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to any pre-release analyst revisions or sector sentiment shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$220-$225 48%
$225-$230 44%
$230-$235 43%
$215-$220 43%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<$215
27%
$215-$220
43%
$220-$225
48%
$225-$230
44%
$230-$235
43%
$235-$240
40%
$240-$245
38%
$245-$250
41%
$250-$255
39%
$255-$260
39%
>$260
42%
$220-$225 48%
$225-$230 44%
$230-$235 43%
$215-$220 43%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<$215
$0 Vol.
27%
$215-$220
$0 Vol.
43%
$220-$225
$0 Vol.
48%
$225-$230
$0 Vol.
44%
$230-$235
$0 Vol.
43%
$235-$240
$0 Vol.
40%
$240-$245
$0 Vol.
38%
$245-$250
$0 Vol.
41%
$250-$255
$0 Vol.
39%
$255-$260
$0 Vol.
39%
>$260
$17 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA's upcoming May 20 earnings report stands as the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment for the stock's weekly close, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 37% and 43.5% across the $215–$235 ranges. Recent price action around the $215–$220 level reflects a post-April pullback from highs near $217, while consensus estimates point to revenue near $78.5 billion and EPS of $1.77, both reflecting over 70% year-over-year growth driven by data-center demand. Traders appear to weigh potential upside from strong AI infrastructure results against risks of tempered guidance on Blackwell ramp or supply-chain constraints, creating a balanced distribution of outcomes rather than strong directional conviction. The proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to any pre-release analyst revisions or sector sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$17End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."NVIDIA's upcoming May 20 earnings report stands as the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment for the stock's weekly close, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 37% and 43.5% across the $215–$235 ranges. Recent price action around the $215–$220 level reflects a post-April pullback from highs near $217, while consensus estimates point to revenue near $78.5 billion and EPS of $1.77, both reflecting over 70% year-over-year growth driven by data-center demand. Traders appear to weigh potential upside from strong AI infrastructure results against risks of tempered guidance on Blackwell ramp or supply-chain constraints, creating a balanced distribution of outcomes rather than strong directional conviction. The proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to any pre-release analyst revisions or sector sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$17End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA's upcoming May 20 earnings report stands as the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment for the stock's weekly close, with market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 37% and 43.5% across the $215–$235 ranges. Recent price action around the $215–$220 level reflects a post-April pullback from highs near $217, while consensus estimates point to revenue near $78.5 billion and EPS of $1.77, both reflecting over 70% year-over-year growth driven by data-center demand. Traders appear to weigh potential upside from strong AI infrastructure results against risks of tempered guidance on Blackwell ramp or supply-chain constraints, creating a balanced distribution of outcomes rather than strong directional conviction. The proximity to resolution heightens sensitivity to any pre-release analyst revisions or sector sentiment shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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