Polymarket traders price NVIDIA (NVDA) weekly close bins nearly evenly at 50% implied probabilities from $175-$220, signaling tight contestation and elevated short-term uncertainty as shares consolidate around $199 after dipping from $213 last week. Primary drivers include fresh competition pressures from Amazon and Google custom AI chips, plus OpenAI's disclosed misses on user growth and revenue targets, prompting reevaluation of hyperscaler commitments exceeding $500 billion in NVIDIA compute. Differentiating NVDA's edge remains its CUDA ecosystem moat and Blackwell/Rubin GPU leadership amid sustained data center demand, with analyst consensus targets at $270. Key swing factors: impending Q1 FY2026 earnings call and H200 China export updates, against broader semiconductor volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$195-$200 25%
$190-$195 23%
$200-$205 21%
$205-$210 20%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
<$175
11%
$175-$180
9%
$180-$185
13%
$185-$190
13%
$190-$195
23%
$195-$200
25%
$200-$205
21%
$205-$210
20%
$210-$215
11%
$215-$220
9%
>$220
15%
$195-$200 25%
$190-$195 23%
$200-$205 21%
$205-$210 20%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
<$175
$0 Vol.
11%
$175-$180
$0 Vol.
9%
$180-$185
$0 Vol.
13%
$185-$190
$0 Vol.
13%
$190-$195
$0 Vol.
23%
$195-$200
$0 Vol.
25%
$200-$205
$0 Vol.
21%
$205-$210
$0 Vol.
20%
$210-$215
$0 Vol.
11%
$215-$220
$0 Vol.
9%
>$220
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price NVIDIA (NVDA) weekly close bins nearly evenly at 50% implied probabilities from $175-$220, signaling tight contestation and elevated short-term uncertainty as shares consolidate around $199 after dipping from $213 last week. Primary drivers include fresh competition pressures from Amazon and Google custom AI chips, plus OpenAI's disclosed misses on user growth and revenue targets, prompting reevaluation of hyperscaler commitments exceeding $500 billion in NVIDIA compute. Differentiating NVDA's edge remains its CUDA ecosystem moat and Blackwell/Rubin GPU leadership amid sustained data center demand, with analyst consensus targets at $270. Key swing factors: impending Q1 FY2026 earnings call and H200 China export updates, against broader semiconductor volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price NVIDIA (NVDA) weekly close bins nearly evenly at 50% implied probabilities from $175-$220, signaling tight contestation and elevated short-term uncertainty as shares consolidate around $199 after dipping from $213 last week. Primary drivers include fresh competition pressures from Amazon and Google custom AI chips, plus OpenAI's disclosed misses on user growth and revenue targets, prompting reevaluation of hyperscaler commitments exceeding $500 billion in NVIDIA compute. Differentiating NVDA's edge remains its CUDA ecosystem moat and Blackwell/Rubin GPU leadership amid sustained data center demand, with analyst consensus targets at $270. Key swing factors: impending Q1 FY2026 earnings call and H200 China export updates, against broader semiconductor volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price NVIDIA (NVDA) weekly close bins nearly evenly at 50% implied probabilities from $175-$220, signaling tight contestation and elevated short-term uncertainty as shares consolidate around $199 after dipping from $213 last week. Primary drivers include fresh competition pressures from Amazon and Google custom AI chips, plus OpenAI's disclosed misses on user growth and revenue targets, prompting reevaluation of hyperscaler commitments exceeding $500 billion in NVIDIA compute. Differentiating NVDA's edge remains its CUDA ecosystem moat and Blackwell/Rubin GPU leadership amid sustained data center demand, with analyst consensus targets at $270. Key swing factors: impending Q1 FY2026 earnings call and H200 China export updates, against broader semiconductor volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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