Trader consensus heavily favors 71–72 million views (63%) for MrBeast's next video on day 4, propelled by his unmatched YouTube dominance and historical benchmarks—recent blockbusters like "Ages 1-100 Fight A Lion" and "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" clocked 72M and 74M respectively by day 4, fueled by viral thumbnails, escalating prize hooks, and algorithm favoritism. The 72–73M bin (35.5%) reflects optimism from his 320M+ subscribers and TikTok cross-promotion, though minor downside risks linger from potential saturation or competing trends. Fresh hype around the unannounced video's survival-challenge theme, teased on X, sustains elevated implied probabilities above 70M, underscoring MrBeast's cultural grip on short-form spectacle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
71–72M 68%
72–73M 31%
73–74M <1%
70–71M <1%
$1,000,610 Vol.
$1,000,610 Vol.
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
<1%
71–72M
68%
72–73M
31%
73–74M
1%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
71–72M 68%
72–73M 31%
73–74M <1%
70–71M <1%
$1,000,610 Vol.
$1,000,610 Vol.
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
<1%
71–72M
68%
72–73M
31%
73–74M
1%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 71–72 million views (63%) for MrBeast's next video on day 4, propelled by his unmatched YouTube dominance and historical benchmarks—recent blockbusters like "Ages 1-100 Fight A Lion" and "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000" clocked 72M and 74M respectively by day 4, fueled by viral thumbnails, escalating prize hooks, and algorithm favoritism. The 72–73M bin (35.5%) reflects optimism from his 320M+ subscribers and TikTok cross-promotion, though minor downside risks linger from potential saturation or competing trends. Fresh hype around the unannounced video's survival-challenge theme, teased on X, sustains elevated implied probabilities above 70M, underscoring MrBeast's cultural grip on short-form spectacle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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