Recent Léger polling shows the Parti Québécois leading at around 30 percent, while the CAQ and PLQ remain tied near 23 percent for second place ahead of the October 5 vote, with the PCQ at 16 percent and QS trailing. The race for runner-up status stays tightly contested because federalist voters remain split between the CAQ under new leader Christine Fréchette and the PLQ under Charles Milliard, while francophone support shows volatility and second-choice preferences are dispersed across multiple parties. Recent shifts, including the CAQ’s modest gains at QS expense, underscore how small movements in undecided voters or regional turnout could alter the final order without changing the PQ’s frontrunner position. The official campaign launch and any late adjustments in voter consolidation will likely determine which party secures the second-highest seat total in the National Assembly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPLQ 47%
CAQ 27%
QS 26%
PQ 25%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
47%
CAQ
27%
QS
26%
PQ
25%
PCQ
25%
PVQ
24%
PLQ 47%
CAQ 27%
QS 26%
PQ 25%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$0 Vol.
47%
CAQ
$0 Vol.
27%
QS
$0 Vol.
26%
PQ
$0 Vol.
25%
PCQ
$0 Vol.
25%
PVQ
$0 Vol.
24%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger polling shows the Parti Québécois leading at around 30 percent, while the CAQ and PLQ remain tied near 23 percent for second place ahead of the October 5 vote, with the PCQ at 16 percent and QS trailing. The race for runner-up status stays tightly contested because federalist voters remain split between the CAQ under new leader Christine Fréchette and the PLQ under Charles Milliard, while francophone support shows volatility and second-choice preferences are dispersed across multiple parties. Recent shifts, including the CAQ’s modest gains at QS expense, underscore how small movements in undecided voters or regional turnout could alter the final order without changing the PQ’s frontrunner position. The official campaign launch and any late adjustments in voter consolidation will likely determine which party secures the second-highest seat total in the National Assembly.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger polling shows the Parti Québécois leading at around 30 percent, while the CAQ and PLQ remain tied near 23 percent for second place ahead of the October 5 vote, with the PCQ at 16 percent and QS trailing. The race for runner-up status stays tightly contested because federalist voters remain split between the CAQ under new leader Christine Fréchette and the PLQ under Charles Milliard, while francophone support shows volatility and second-choice preferences are dispersed across multiple parties. Recent shifts, including the CAQ’s modest gains at QS expense, underscore how small movements in undecided voters or regional turnout could alter the final order without changing the PQ’s frontrunner position. The official campaign launch and any late adjustments in voter consolidation will likely determine which party secures the second-highest seat total in the National Assembly.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Léger polling shows the Parti Québécois leading at around 30 percent, while the CAQ and PLQ remain tied near 23 percent for second place ahead of the October 5 vote, with the PCQ at 16 percent and QS trailing. The race for runner-up status stays tightly contested because federalist voters remain split between the CAQ under new leader Christine Fréchette and the PLQ under Charles Milliard, while francophone support shows volatility and second-choice preferences are dispersed across multiple parties. Recent shifts, including the CAQ’s modest gains at QS expense, underscore how small movements in undecided voters or regional turnout could alter the final order without changing the PQ’s frontrunner position. The official campaign launch and any late adjustments in voter consolidation will likely determine which party secures the second-highest seat total in the National Assembly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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