Democratic predictions & odds

Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1B Vol.

$320K today

$76M Liq.

834

Ends in about 2 years

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1B Vol.

$320K today

$76M Liq.

834

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·Midterms

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

$23.1K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

68%

$23.1K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·President

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

$100K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

11%

Gretchen Whitmer

$100K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Elections·Democratic Primary

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

$13.6K Vol.

$108K Liq.

99%

Pappas 30–35%

$13.6K Vol.

$108K Liq.

Elections·US Election

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

$3.7K Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

32%

Under 45

$3.7K Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Elections·Democratic Presidential Nomination

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

$17.8K Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

28%

Kamala Harris

$17.8K Vol.

$129K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Elections·Midterms

Democratic Senate odds on September 25?

$3.6K Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

41%

66-68%

$3.6K Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Elections·Gretchen Whitmer

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

$4.6K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

32%

$4.6K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·Primaries

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

$3.4K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

47%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$3.4K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·House Elections

DE-AL House Election Winner

$43.9K Vol.

$34.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

96%

Democratic Party

$43.9K Vol.

$34.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Primaries

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

$53.7K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

94%

10-12

$53.7K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Elections·House Elections

DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory

$7.7K Vol.

$72.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

40%

Democrat 25-30%

$7.7K Vol.

$72.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$12M Vol.

$62.4K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 3 months

93%

Democratic Party

$12M Vol.

$62.4K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$5M Vol.

$1M Liq.

150

Ends in about 1 month

67%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$1M Liq.

150

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Margin Of Victory

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

$5.3K Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

41%

Michigan

$5.3K Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Global Elections

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$2M Vol.

$646K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

66%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$646K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Elections·Global Elections

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

$154K Vol.

$111K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

86%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$154K Vol.

$111K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Margin Of Victory

Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

$4.0K Vol.

$45.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

28%

Democrat 30-35%

$4.0K Vol.

$45.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·House Elections

VA-05 House Election Winner

$80.7K Vol.

$76.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

81%

John McGuire (R)

$80.7K Vol.

$76.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·House Elections

CA-42 House Election Winner

$42.2K Vol.

$70.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

96%

Robert Garcia (D)

$42.2K Vol.

$70.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Democratic.

Polymarket currently hosts 1086 active markets for Democratic that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Democratic predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Democratic shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Democratic prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Democratic prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Democratic predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Democratic prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Democratic markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Democratic prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Democratic predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Democratic odds?

Can I track Democratic predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Democratic markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Democratic predictions & odds