The crowded field of 13 registered candidates for Roraima’s two Federal Senate seats, with filings closing August 15, keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered as no contender has consolidated broad support in the small-state electorate. Incumbent Chico Rodrigues and other established names such as Rogério Miranda and Helio Bolsonaro compete alongside lesser-known challengers, producing a fragmented vote that historically rewards local name recognition and party machinery rather than national coattails. With the October 4 election still weeks away and limited recent polling available, traders price the outcome near even odds across leading options while awaiting campaign events or alliances that could narrow the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHelio Bolsonaro 45%
Pastor Isamar 44%
Hilton Xavier 43%
Márcio Junqueira 42%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Helio Bolsonaro
45%
Pastor Isamar
44%
Hilton Xavier
43%
Márcio Junqueira
42%
Regina Tio Ivo
41%
Mario Rocha
40%
Rogério Miranda
38%
Helena da Asatur
37%
Nicoletti
37%
Teresa Surita
35%
Bartô Macuxi
19%
Chico Rodrigues
43%
Hiperion de Oliveira
44%
Helio Bolsonaro 45%
Pastor Isamar 44%
Hilton Xavier 43%
Márcio Junqueira 42%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Helio Bolsonaro
$48 Vol.
45%
Pastor Isamar
$48 Vol.
44%
Hilton Xavier
$48 Vol.
43%
Márcio Junqueira
$48 Vol.
42%
Regina Tio Ivo
$48 Vol.
41%
Mario Rocha
$48 Vol.
40%
Rogério Miranda
$48 Vol.
38%
Helena da Asatur
$48 Vol.
37%
Nicoletti
$48 Vol.
37%
Teresa Surita
$48 Vol.
35%
Bartô Macuxi
$48 Vol.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$64 Vol.
43%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$65 Vol.
44%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of 13 registered candidates for Roraima’s two Federal Senate seats, with filings closing August 15, keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered as no contender has consolidated broad support in the small-state electorate. Incumbent Chico Rodrigues and other established names such as Rogério Miranda and Helio Bolsonaro compete alongside lesser-known challengers, producing a fragmented vote that historically rewards local name recognition and party machinery rather than national coattails. With the October 4 election still weeks away and limited recent polling available, traders price the outcome near even odds across leading options while awaiting campaign events or alliances that could narrow the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$508End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of 13 registered candidates for Roraima’s two Federal Senate seats, with filings closing August 15, keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered as no contender has consolidated broad support in the small-state electorate. Incumbent Chico Rodrigues and other established names such as Rogério Miranda and Helio Bolsonaro compete alongside lesser-known challengers, producing a fragmented vote that historically rewards local name recognition and party machinery rather than national coattails. With the October 4 election still weeks away and limited recent polling available, traders price the outcome near even odds across leading options while awaiting campaign events or alliances that could narrow the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$508End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of 13 registered candidates for Roraima’s two Federal Senate seats, with filings closing August 15, keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered as no contender has consolidated broad support in the small-state electorate. Incumbent Chico Rodrigues and other established names such as Rogério Miranda and Helio Bolsonaro compete alongside lesser-known challengers, producing a fragmented vote that historically rewards local name recognition and party machinery rather than national coattails. With the October 4 election still weeks away and limited recent polling available, traders price the outcome near even odds across leading options while awaiting campaign events or alliances that could narrow the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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