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icon for Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place

Mario Rocha 46%

Pastor Isamar 45%

Regina Tio Ivo 45%

Rogério Miranda 43%

Polymarket
NEW

Mario Rocha 46%

Pastor Isamar 45%

Regina Tio Ivo 45%

Rogério Miranda 43%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Mario Rocha

Mario Rocha

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Pastor Isamar

Pastor Isamar

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Regina Tio Ivo

Regina Tio Ivo

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Rogério Miranda

Rogério Miranda

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Hilton Xavier

Hilton Xavier

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Nicoletti

Nicoletti

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Chico Rodrigues

Chico Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Helio Bolsonaro

Helio Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Hiperion de Oliveira

Hiperion de Oliveira

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Márcio Junqueira

Márcio Junqueira

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Helena da Asatur

Helena da Asatur

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Teresa Surita

Teresa Surita

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Bartô Macuxi

Bartô Macuxi

$0 Vol.

19%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mario Rocha" at 46%, followed by "Pastor Isamar" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Mario Rocha" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pastor Isamar" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.