Trader consensus prices a 54.5% implied probability for at least one hole-in-one during the official rounds of the 2026 Masters at Augusta National, reflecting the event's historical frequency—aces in about half of 88 prior tournaments, with 34 total recorded primarily on par-3s 4, 6, 12, and especially 16. No official play has begun ahead of Thursday's first round, leaving odds balanced by a deep 91-player field led by favorites Scottie Scheffler (+500), Jon Rahm (+950), and Rory McIlroy, whose precision approach play elevates ace potential amid modern equipment trends. Recent precedents like three aces in 2025 underpin yes sentiment, but firm winds or rain could suppress trajectories and tip toward no; conversely, calm conditions or hot irons on 16 might surge yes sharply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Apr 13, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 13, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Trader consensus prices a 54.5% implied probability for at least one hole-in-one during the official rounds of the 2026 Masters at Augusta National, reflecting the event's historical frequency—aces in about half of 88 prior tournaments, with 34 total recorded primarily on par-3s 4, 6, 12, and especially 16. No official play has begun ahead of Thursday's first round, leaving odds balanced by a deep 91-player field led by favorites Scottie Scheffler (+500), Jon Rahm (+950), and Rory McIlroy, whose precision approach play elevates ace potential amid modern equipment trends. Recent precedents like three aces in 2025 underpin yes sentiment, but firm winds or rain could suppress trajectories and tip toward no; conversely, calm conditions or hot irons on 16 might surge yes sharply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$6,358End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Trader consensus prices a 54.5% implied probability for at least one hole-in-one during the official rounds of the 2026 Masters at Augusta National, reflecting the event's historical frequency—aces in about half of 88 prior tournaments, with 34 total recorded primarily on par-3s 4, 6, 12, and especially 16. No official play has begun ahead of Thursday's first round, leaving odds balanced by a deep 91-player field led by favorites Scottie Scheffler (+500), Jon Rahm (+950), and Rory McIlroy, whose precision approach play elevates ace potential amid modern equipment trends. Recent precedents like three aces in 2025 underpin yes sentiment, but firm winds or rain could suppress trajectories and tip toward no; conversely, calm conditions or hot irons on 16 might surge yes sharply.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$6,358End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 54.5% implied probability for at least one hole-in-one during the official rounds of the 2026 Masters at Augusta National, reflecting the event's historical frequency—aces in about half of 88 prior tournaments, with 34 total recorded primarily on par-3s 4, 6, 12, and especially 16. No official play has begun ahead of Thursday's first round, leaving odds balanced by a deep 91-player field led by favorites Scottie Scheffler (+500), Jon Rahm (+950), and Rory McIlroy, whose precision approach play elevates ace potential amid modern equipment trends. Recent precedents like three aces in 2025 underpin yes sentiment, but firm winds or rain could suppress trajectories and tip toward no; conversely, calm conditions or hot irons on 16 might surge yes sharply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions