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icon for Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

Eli Borges 22%

Vanderlei Luxemburgo 22%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 21%

Eduardo Gomes 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Eli Borges 22%

Vanderlei Luxemburgo 22%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 21%

Eduardo Gomes 21%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$80 Vol.

23%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$60 Vol.

22%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$60 Vol.

21%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$60 Vol.

21%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$60 Vol.

20%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$72 Vol.

21%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$60 Vol.

18%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$60 Vol.

18%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$80 Vol.

14%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$60 Vol.

10%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$72 Vol.

22%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$60 Vol.

35%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$844
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins federal Senate race for two seats on October 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where Eduardo Gomes holds a polling edge for first place while multiple contenders vie for second. Recent candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, with Irajá Abreu’s withdrawal consolidating some support but leaving names like Alexandre Guimarães, Carlos Gaguim, Eli Borges, and Professor Osvaldo in close contention per available surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from similar vote-share bases among these candidates, limited recent polling differentiation, and Brazil’s multi-candidate dynamics where turnout, regional alliances, and late campaign shifts can reorder placements. Developments such as party coalitions, additional candidate exits, or updated statewide surveys could separate the pack before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$844
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gaguim" at 35%, followed by "Eli Borges" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Gaguim" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eli Borges" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.