Recent developments in Brazil's October 2026 Federal District Senate race, including Michelle Bolsonaro's August confirmation as a PL candidate alongside Bia Kicis, have kept the contest for second place fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Incumbents and established figures such as Erika Kokay and Leila Barros maintain support on the center-left, while other declared or prospective names including Ronaldo Fonseca and Guto Felício compete in a plurality block voting system that elects the top two. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows no dominant second-place frontrunner, as party strategies, vote splitting within coalitions, and limited polling data leave outcomes sensitive to upcoming conventions, alliances, and campaign momentum before the October ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedProfessor Guilherme Amorim 42%
Zanata 41%
Avenir Rosa 40%
David Horn 40%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Professor Guilherme Amorim
42%
Zanata
41%
Avenir Rosa
40%
David Horn
40%
Erika Kokay
40%
Guto Felício dos Santos
40%
Tiago
40%
Leila do Vôlei
40%
Bia Kicis
40%
Marley
40%
Michelle Bolsonaro
40%
Ronaldo Fonseca
40%
Sebastião Coelho
40%
Professor Guilherme Amorim 42%
Zanata 41%
Avenir Rosa 40%
David Horn 40%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$0 Vol.
42%
Zanata
$0 Vol.
41%
Avenir Rosa
$0 Vol.
40%
David Horn
$0 Vol.
40%
Erika Kokay
$0 Vol.
40%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$0 Vol.
40%
Tiago
$0 Vol.
40%
Leila do Vôlei
$0 Vol.
40%
Bia Kicis
$0 Vol.
40%
Marley
$0 Vol.
40%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
40%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$0 Vol.
40%
Sebastião Coelho
$0 Vol.
40%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent developments in Brazil's October 2026 Federal District Senate race, including Michelle Bolsonaro's August confirmation as a PL candidate alongside Bia Kicis, have kept the contest for second place fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Incumbents and established figures such as Erika Kokay and Leila Barros maintain support on the center-left, while other declared or prospective names including Ronaldo Fonseca and Guto Felício compete in a plurality block voting system that elects the top two. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows no dominant second-place frontrunner, as party strategies, vote splitting within coalitions, and limited polling data leave outcomes sensitive to upcoming conventions, alliances, and campaign momentum before the October ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent developments in Brazil's October 2026 Federal District Senate race, including Michelle Bolsonaro's August confirmation as a PL candidate alongside Bia Kicis, have kept the contest for second place fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Incumbents and established figures such as Erika Kokay and Leila Barros maintain support on the center-left, while other declared or prospective names including Ronaldo Fonseca and Guto Felício compete in a plurality block voting system that elects the top two. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows no dominant second-place frontrunner, as party strategies, vote splitting within coalitions, and limited polling data leave outcomes sensitive to upcoming conventions, alliances, and campaign momentum before the October ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in Brazil's October 2026 Federal District Senate race, including Michelle Bolsonaro's August confirmation as a PL candidate alongside Bia Kicis, have kept the contest for second place fragmented among right-leaning contenders. Incumbents and established figures such as Erika Kokay and Leila Barros maintain support on the center-left, while other declared or prospective names including Ronaldo Fonseca and Guto Felício compete in a plurality block voting system that elects the top two. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing shows no dominant second-place frontrunner, as party strategies, vote splitting within coalitions, and limited polling data leave outcomes sensitive to upcoming conventions, alliances, and campaign momentum before the October ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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