In Santa Catarina's open Senate race for two seats, trader sentiment on second place remains tightly balanced because a fragmented field of more than a dozen confirmed candidates from PL, PP, PT, PSOL, MDB and smaller parties produces overlapping support bases and no clear consolidation yet. Recent July polling showed the PL slate of Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro leading overall, yet with Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima and several others clustered within a few points behind, while internal PL tensions and the arrival of the younger Bolsonaro have split bolsonarista voters without locking in a decisive order. Voter volatility ahead of the October ballot, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and limited name recognition for many challengers, sustains the near-even implied probabilities across contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSanta Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 47%
Carol de Toni 46%
Esperidião Amin 46%
Carlos Bolsonaro 46%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
47%
Carol de Toni
46%
Esperidião Amin
46%
Carlos Bolsonaro
46%
Carol
46%
Joaninha de Oliveira
45%
Lunelli
44%
Marcos Dorval
44%
Afrânio Boppré
44%
Décio Lima
43%
Marlene Soccas
42%
Jeferson da Rocha
41%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
40%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 47%
Carol de Toni 46%
Esperidião Amin 46%
Carlos Bolsonaro 46%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$0 Vol.
47%
Carol de Toni
$0 Vol.
46%
Esperidião Amin
$0 Vol.
46%
Carlos Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
46%
Carol
$0 Vol.
46%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$0 Vol.
45%
Lunelli
$0 Vol.
44%
Marcos Dorval
$0 Vol.
44%
Afrânio Boppré
$0 Vol.
44%
Décio Lima
$0 Vol.
43%
Marlene Soccas
$0 Vol.
42%
Jeferson da Rocha
$0 Vol.
41%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$0 Vol.
40%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina's open Senate race for two seats, trader sentiment on second place remains tightly balanced because a fragmented field of more than a dozen confirmed candidates from PL, PP, PT, PSOL, MDB and smaller parties produces overlapping support bases and no clear consolidation yet. Recent July polling showed the PL slate of Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro leading overall, yet with Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima and several others clustered within a few points behind, while internal PL tensions and the arrival of the younger Bolsonaro have split bolsonarista voters without locking in a decisive order. Voter volatility ahead of the October ballot, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and limited name recognition for many challengers, sustains the near-even implied probabilities across contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina's open Senate race for two seats, trader sentiment on second place remains tightly balanced because a fragmented field of more than a dozen confirmed candidates from PL, PP, PT, PSOL, MDB and smaller parties produces overlapping support bases and no clear consolidation yet. Recent July polling showed the PL slate of Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro leading overall, yet with Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima and several others clustered within a few points behind, while internal PL tensions and the arrival of the younger Bolsonaro have split bolsonarista voters without locking in a decisive order. Voter volatility ahead of the October ballot, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and limited name recognition for many challengers, sustains the near-even implied probabilities across contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Santa Catarina's open Senate race for two seats, trader sentiment on second place remains tightly balanced because a fragmented field of more than a dozen confirmed candidates from PL, PP, PT, PSOL, MDB and smaller parties produces overlapping support bases and no clear consolidation yet. Recent July polling showed the PL slate of Caroline de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro leading overall, yet with Esperidião Amin, Décio Lima and several others clustered within a few points behind, while internal PL tensions and the arrival of the younger Bolsonaro have split bolsonarista voters without locking in a decisive order. Voter volatility ahead of the October ballot, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and limited name recognition for many challengers, sustains the near-even implied probabilities across contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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