Tesla (TSLA) share price has traded in a narrow range around $360–$370 following yesterday's Q1 2026 delivery report of 358,023 vehicles, missing consensus estimates of 365,000–368,000 amid softening EV demand, U.S. incentive cuts, and intensifying competition from Chinese rivals like BYD. This downside catalyst erased recent gains, fostering trader consensus for balanced market-implied odds across $340–$385 bins, reflecting indecision between technical support near $355 and resistance at $375–$380. Key differentiators include near-term FSD updates and Cybercab production signals versus margin pressures; Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the pivotal swing factor, with nonfarm payrolls data potentially influencing broader risk appetite this week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated<$340 50%
$345-$350 50%
$350-$355 50%
$360-$365 50%
<$340
50%
$340-$345
49%
$345-$350
50%
$350-$355
50%
$355-$360
49%
$360-$365
50%
$365-$370
50%
$370-$375
50%
$375-$380
50%
$380-$385
49%
>$385
50%
<$340 50%
$345-$350 50%
$350-$355 50%
$360-$365 50%
<$340
50%
$340-$345
49%
$345-$350
50%
$350-$355
50%
$355-$360
49%
$360-$365
50%
$365-$370
50%
$370-$375
50%
$375-$380
50%
$380-$385
49%
>$385
50%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla (TSLA) share price has traded in a narrow range around $360–$370 following yesterday's Q1 2026 delivery report of 358,023 vehicles, missing consensus estimates of 365,000–368,000 amid softening EV demand, U.S. incentive cuts, and intensifying competition from Chinese rivals like BYD. This downside catalyst erased recent gains, fostering trader consensus for balanced market-implied odds across $340–$385 bins, reflecting indecision between technical support near $355 and resistance at $375–$380. Key differentiators include near-term FSD updates and Cybercab production signals versus margin pressures; Q1 earnings on April 22 loom as the pivotal swing factor, with nonfarm payrolls data potentially influencing broader risk appetite this week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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