Tesla shares closed June 26 at $379.71 amid intraday swings between $368.60 and $387.80, leaving weekly closing-price buckets clustered near current levels with implied probabilities tightly grouped around 49.5–50%. Primary drivers include mixed analyst forecasts for Q2 vehicle deliveries, where some firms project results above consensus while others cite softening demand signals, alongside ongoing investor focus on Tesla’s Q1 progress in supervised FSD, early Robotaxi operations, and energy-storage ramp. Recent price action reflects a pullback from June highs above $400, tempered by broader equity volatility and capital-expenditure plans exceeding $20 billion for AI and manufacturing infrastructure. With resolution just days away, trader positioning hinges on any last-minute delivery commentary or macroeconomic data releases that could shift near-term share-price expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>$400 19%
<$355 18%
$360-$365 12%
$390-$395 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 3, 2026
<$355
18%
$355-$360
12%
$360-$365
12%
$365-$370
12%
$370-$375
12%
$375-$380
12%
$380-$385
11%
$385-$390
11%
$390-$395
12%
$395-$400
12%
>$400
19%
>$400 19%
<$355 18%
$360-$365 12%
$390-$395 12%
NEW
NEW
Jul 3, 2026
<$355
$0 Vol.
18%
$355-$360
$0 Vol.
12%
$360-$365
$0 Vol.
12%
$365-$370
$0 Vol.
12%
$370-$375
$0 Vol.
12%
$375-$380
$0 Vol.
12%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
11%
$385-$390
$0 Vol.
11%
$390-$395
$0 Vol.
12%
$395-$400
$0 Vol.
12%
>$400
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed June 26 at $379.71 amid intraday swings between $368.60 and $387.80, leaving weekly closing-price buckets clustered near current levels with implied probabilities tightly grouped around 49.5–50%. Primary drivers include mixed analyst forecasts for Q2 vehicle deliveries, where some firms project results above consensus while others cite softening demand signals, alongside ongoing investor focus on Tesla’s Q1 progress in supervised FSD, early Robotaxi operations, and energy-storage ramp. Recent price action reflects a pullback from June highs above $400, tempered by broader equity volatility and capital-expenditure plans exceeding $20 billion for AI and manufacturing infrastructure. With resolution just days away, trader positioning hinges on any last-minute delivery commentary or macroeconomic data releases that could shift near-term share-price expectations.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed June 26 at $379.71 amid intraday swings between $368.60 and $387.80, leaving weekly closing-price buckets clustered near current levels with implied probabilities tightly grouped around 49.5–50%. Primary drivers include mixed analyst forecasts for Q2 vehicle deliveries, where some firms project results above consensus while others cite softening demand signals, alongside ongoing investor focus on Tesla’s Q1 progress in supervised FSD, early Robotaxi operations, and energy-storage ramp. Recent price action reflects a pullback from June highs above $400, tempered by broader equity volatility and capital-expenditure plans exceeding $20 billion for AI and manufacturing infrastructure. With resolution just days away, trader positioning hinges on any last-minute delivery commentary or macroeconomic data releases that could shift near-term share-price expectations.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed June 26 at $379.71 amid intraday swings between $368.60 and $387.80, leaving weekly closing-price buckets clustered near current levels with implied probabilities tightly grouped around 49.5–50%. Primary drivers include mixed analyst forecasts for Q2 vehicle deliveries, where some firms project results above consensus while others cite softening demand signals, alongside ongoing investor focus on Tesla’s Q1 progress in supervised FSD, early Robotaxi operations, and energy-storage ramp. Recent price action reflects a pullback from June highs above $400, tempered by broader equity volatility and capital-expenditure plans exceeding $20 billion for AI and manufacturing infrastructure. With resolution just days away, trader positioning hinges on any last-minute delivery commentary or macroeconomic data releases that could shift near-term share-price expectations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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