The newly redrawn Texas 18th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic areas of Houston and surrounding counties, delivered strong support for Kamala Harris in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins. Incumbent Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination after defeating longtime Representative Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff by a nearly 40-point margin, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by 25 points or more. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. No major developments have shifted the race since the primary concluded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-18 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
14%
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The newly redrawn Texas 18th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic areas of Houston and surrounding counties, delivered strong support for Kamala Harris in 2024 and carries a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins. Incumbent Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination after defeating longtime Representative Al Green in the May 2026 primary runoff by a nearly 40-point margin, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces structural challenges in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by 25 points or more. Recent polling and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. No major developments have shifted the race since the primary concluded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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