Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces minimal opposition in Florida's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following the state's spring 2026 redistricting that produced a map projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. The August 18 Republican primary and limited Democratic filing activity have reinforced the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican assessments from other forecasters. Traders assign an 88% probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the district's partisan composition, Franklin's prior reelection margins, and Florida's broader electoral trends, while the 12.5% Democratic share aligns with the absence of competitive challengers or polling shifts. Court challenges to the map remain unresolved but have not altered expectations for this cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-18 House Election Winner
FL-18 House Election Winner
$28,763 Vol.
$28,763 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
$28,763 Vol.
$28,763 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,663 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$11,100 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces minimal opposition in Florida's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following the state's spring 2026 redistricting that produced a map projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. The August 18 Republican primary and limited Democratic filing activity have reinforced the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican assessments from other forecasters. Traders assign an 88% probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the district's partisan composition, Franklin's prior reelection margins, and Florida's broader electoral trends, while the 12.5% Democratic share aligns with the absence of competitive challengers or polling shifts. Court challenges to the map remain unresolved but have not altered expectations for this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$28,763End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces minimal opposition in Florida's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following the state's spring 2026 redistricting that produced a map projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. The August 18 Republican primary and limited Democratic filing activity have reinforced the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican assessments from other forecasters. Traders assign an 88% probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the district's partisan composition, Franklin's prior reelection margins, and Florida's broader electoral trends, while the 12.5% Democratic share aligns with the absence of competitive challengers or polling shifts. Court challenges to the map remain unresolved but have not altered expectations for this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,763End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin faces minimal opposition in Florida's 18th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, following the state's spring 2026 redistricting that produced a map projected to deliver a 24-4 Republican advantage statewide. The August 18 Republican primary and limited Democratic filing activity have reinforced the seat's Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican assessments from other forecasters. Traders assign an 88% probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the district's partisan composition, Franklin's prior reelection margins, and Florida's broader electoral trends, while the 12.5% Democratic share aligns with the absence of competitive challengers or polling shifts. Court challenges to the map remain unresolved but have not altered expectations for this cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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