Sports·UFC

Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos

Polymarket
Chris Padilla
Chris Padilla
5:30 PMApril 11
MarQuel Mederos
MarQuel Mederos
$11.46K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$11.3K Vol.

Totals

$73 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$10 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$30 Vol.

Padilla to win by KO/TKO?

$9 Vol.

Mederos to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Padilla defeats MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if MarQuel Mederos defeats Chris Padilla at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Chris Padilla (17-6, 4-0 UFC) enters UFC 327's lightweight early prelims as the trader-favored prospect despite weighing in at 158 pounds yesterday, missing the 156-pound non-title limit by two pounds—a potential stamina concern after his November 2025 second-round TKO of Ismael Bonfim. Undefeated Octagon counterpart MarQuel Mederos (11-1, 3-0 UFC), a Dana White's Contender Series alum, hit 155 pounds cleanly, bringing decision wins in all UFC bouts with sharp striking (4.84 significant strikes per minute, 56% accuracy) and solid defense. Padilla's knockout power (nine career TKOs) contrasts Mederos' durability, fueling a competitive striking matchup in Miami where fight IQ and weight cut recovery could swing momentum.

This market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026.

It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$11,460
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Mederos vs. Padilla” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the MarQuel Mederos and the Chris Padilla, scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Padilla is currently priced at 60¢ (60% implied probability) and Mederos at 41¢ (41%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Mederos vs. Padilla” market has generated $11.5K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Mederos vs. Padilla,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAR83 at 41¢ and CHR52 at 60¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Mederos vs. Padilla” show Chris Padilla at 60¢ (60% implied probability) and MarQuel Mederos at 41¢ (41%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Mederos vs. Padilla” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos

Polymarket
Chris Padilla
Chris Padilla
5:30 PMApril 11
MarQuel Mederos
MarQuel Mederos
$11.46K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$11.3K Vol.

Totals

$73 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$10 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$30 Vol.

Padilla to win by KO/TKO?

$9 Vol.

Mederos to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Padilla defeats MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if MarQuel Mederos defeats Chris Padilla at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Chris Padilla and MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Chris Padilla (17-6, 4-0 UFC) enters UFC 327's lightweight early prelims as the trader-favored prospect despite weighing in at 158 pounds yesterday, missing the 156-pound non-title limit by two pounds—a potential stamina concern after his November 2025 second-round TKO of Ismael Bonfim. Undefeated Octagon counterpart MarQuel Mederos (11-1, 3-0 UFC), a Dana White's Contender Series alum, hit 155 pounds cleanly, bringing decision wins in all UFC bouts with sharp striking (4.84 significant strikes per minute, 56% accuracy) and solid defense. Padilla's knockout power (nine career TKOs) contrasts Mederos' durability, fueling a competitive striking matchup in Miami where fight IQ and weight cut recovery could swing momentum.

This market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026.

It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$11,460
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Chris Padilla" if Chris Padilla is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Mederos vs. Padilla” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the MarQuel Mederos and the Chris Padilla, scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Padilla is currently priced at 60¢ (60% implied probability) and Mederos at 41¢ (41%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Mederos vs. Padilla” market has generated $11.5K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Mederos vs. Padilla,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAR83 at 41¢ and CHR52 at 60¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Mederos vs. Padilla” show Chris Padilla at 60¢ (60% implied probability) and MarQuel Mederos at 41¢ (41%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Mederos vs. Padilla” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.