**US-Iran talks have produced a rapid diplomatic breakthrough.** Negotiators reached a 14-point memorandum of understanding (MoU) in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, lift certain maritime restrictions, and launch 60 days of technical talks on Iran’s nuclear program and enriched-uranium stockpile. The framework also contemplates sanctions relief and a reconstruction fund, though core nuclear limits remain deferred. President Trump and Iranian officials electronically or virtually signed the MoU around June 15–17; Trump additionally signed a hard-copy version at the G7 summit in France on June 17. A formal physical signing ceremony had been slated for June 19 in Switzerland (Geneva or Bürgenstock), mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, though some reporting indicates the agreement may already be considered in effect. The market’s focus on a “physically signed” outcome therefore hinges on whether that scheduled Geneva ceremony occurs on time or is postponed, and on any public confirmation that a fully executed paper document has been exchanged. A 60-day negotiation window now governs follow-on nuclear issues, sanctions implementation, and verification arrangements, creating clear near-term resolution triggers tied to the June 19 date and the subsequent technical talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS-Iran deal physically signed by...?
US-Iran deal physically signed by...?
$569,758 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
June 19
Yes
June 30
Yes
$569,758 Vol.
June 19
$404,268 Vol.
Yes
June 30
$165,490 Vol.
Yes
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**US-Iran talks have produced a rapid diplomatic breakthrough.** Negotiators reached a 14-point memorandum of understanding (MoU) in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, lift certain maritime restrictions, and launch 60 days of technical talks on Iran’s nuclear program and enriched-uranium stockpile. The framework also contemplates sanctions relief and a reconstruction fund, though core nuclear limits remain deferred.
President Trump and Iranian officials electronically or virtually signed the MoU around June 15–17; Trump additionally signed a hard-copy version at the G7 summit in France on June 17. A formal physical signing ceremony had been slated for June 19 in Switzerland (Geneva or Bürgenstock), mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, though some reporting indicates the agreement may already be considered in effect.
The market’s focus on a “physically signed” outcome therefore hinges on whether that scheduled Geneva ceremony occurs on time or is postponed, and on any public confirmation that a fully executed paper document has been exchanged. A 60-day negotiation window now governs follow-on nuclear issues, sanctions implementation, and verification arrangements, creating clear near-term resolution triggers tied to the June 19 date and the subsequent technical talks.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$569,758End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**US-Iran talks have produced a rapid diplomatic breakthrough.** Negotiators reached a 14-point memorandum of understanding (MoU) in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, lift certain maritime restrictions, and launch 60 days of technical talks on Iran’s nuclear program and enriched-uranium stockpile. The framework also contemplates sanctions relief and a reconstruction fund, though core nuclear limits remain deferred.
President Trump and Iranian officials electronically or virtually signed the MoU around June 15–17; Trump additionally signed a hard-copy version at the G7 summit in France on June 17. A formal physical signing ceremony had been slated for June 19 in Switzerland (Geneva or Bürgenstock), mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, though some reporting indicates the agreement may already be considered in effect.
The market’s focus on a “physically signed” outcome therefore hinges on whether that scheduled Geneva ceremony occurs on time or is postponed, and on any public confirmation that a fully executed paper document has been exchanged. A 60-day negotiation window now governs follow-on nuclear issues, sanctions implementation, and verification arrangements, creating clear near-term resolution triggers tied to the June 19 date and the subsequent technical talks.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States and Iran both physically sign the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
“Physically signs” means that the authorized representatives personally sign the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. An agreement which was previously executed through electronic signature may still be physically signed.
The agreement must be physically signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$569,758End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**US-Iran talks have produced a rapid diplomatic breakthrough.** Negotiators reached a 14-point memorandum of understanding (MoU) in mid-June 2026 to extend the ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, lift certain maritime restrictions, and launch 60 days of technical talks on Iran’s nuclear program and enriched-uranium stockpile. The framework also contemplates sanctions relief and a reconstruction fund, though core nuclear limits remain deferred. President Trump and Iranian officials electronically or virtually signed the MoU around June 15–17; Trump additionally signed a hard-copy version at the G7 summit in France on June 17. A formal physical signing ceremony had been slated for June 19 in Switzerland (Geneva or Bürgenstock), mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, though some reporting indicates the agreement may already be considered in effect. The market’s focus on a “physically signed” outcome therefore hinges on whether that scheduled Geneva ceremony occurs on time or is postponed, and on any public confirmation that a fully executed paper document has been exchanged. A 60-day negotiation window now governs follow-on nuclear issues, sanctions implementation, and verification arrangements, creating clear near-term resolution triggers tied to the June 19 date and the subsequent technical talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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