Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors natural gas (NG) prices settling in the $3.00–$4.00/MMBtu range for April 2026, with over 60% implied probability, reflecting a contango futures curve where April 2026 Henry Hub contracts trade near $3.40 amid expectations of surging LNG export demand. Current front-month prices hover around $1.70/MMBtu due to record U.S. production exceeding 104 Bcf/d and elevated storage levels at 2,200 Bcf—36% above five-year averages per EIA data—keeping near-term pressure soft. Key catalysts include new LNG capacity from Plaquemines and Golden Pass ramping in 2025–2026, potentially boosting exports by 10 Bcf/d, alongside normalizing weather post-mild winter. Watch weekly EIA storage reports and summer injection season for shifts in the long-dated curve.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated↑ $4.20
100%
↑ $4.00
100%
↑ $3.80
100%
↑ $3.60
100%
↑ $3.40
100%
↑ $3.20
100%
↑ $3.00
100%
↓ $2.80
100%
↓ $2.60
100%
↓ $2.40
100%
↓ $2.20
100%
↓ $2.00
100%
↓ $1.80
51%
↓ $1.60
100%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4.20
100%
↑ $4.00
100%
↑ $3.80
100%
↑ $3.60
100%
↑ $3.40
100%
↑ $3.20
100%
↑ $3.00
100%
↓ $2.80
100%
↓ $2.60
100%
↓ $2.40
100%
↓ $2.20
100%
↓ $2.00
100%
↓ $1.80
51%
↓ $1.60
100%
For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as four business days prior to the first calendar day of the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.NGDM6%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.NGDM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Commodities.NGDM6%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors natural gas (NG) prices settling in the $3.00–$4.00/MMBtu range for April 2026, with over 60% implied probability, reflecting a contango futures curve where April 2026 Henry Hub contracts trade near $3.40 amid expectations of surging LNG export demand. Current front-month prices hover around $1.70/MMBtu due to record U.S. production exceeding 104 Bcf/d and elevated storage levels at 2,200 Bcf—36% above five-year averages per EIA data—keeping near-term pressure soft. Key catalysts include new LNG capacity from Plaquemines and Golden Pass ramping in 2025–2026, potentially boosting exports by 10 Bcf/d, alongside normalizing weather post-mild winter. Watch weekly EIA storage reports and summer injection season for shifts in the long-dated curve.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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