Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest pullback in June 2026 Gold (GC) futures settlement to the $4,600-$5,000 range at 25% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 20.6%, reflecting balanced macro headwinds and safe-haven support. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% annual—up from 2.4% in February—prompting the Federal Reserve's March FOMC to hold rates steady with median dots signaling just one or two cuts, elevating real yields and USD strength that pressured GC futures from recent $4,800 highs toward current $4,725 levels. Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz talks, provide counterbidding, but inflation persistence dominates. Key swing factor: April CPI on May 12, with hotter prints favoring lower bins amid reduced rate-cut bets, while cooler data could propel toward $5,000+. Next FOMC looms as resolution catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,600-$5,000 25%
$4,200-$4,600 20.6%
$5,000-$5,400 17.4%
$3,800-$4,200 11.8%
$907,144 Vol.
$907,144 Vol.
<$3,800
5%
$3,800-$4,200
12%
$4,200-$4,600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
25%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>$6,200
4%
$4,600-$5,000 25%
$4,200-$4,600 20.6%
$5,000-$5,400 17.4%
$3,800-$4,200 11.8%
$907,144 Vol.
$907,144 Vol.
<$3,800
5%
$3,800-$4,200
12%
$4,200-$4,600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
25%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>$6,200
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest pullback in June 2026 Gold (GC) futures settlement to the $4,600-$5,000 range at 25% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 20.6%, reflecting balanced macro headwinds and safe-haven support. March 2026 CPI surged to 3.3% annual—up from 2.4% in February—prompting the Federal Reserve's March FOMC to hold rates steady with median dots signaling just one or two cuts, elevating real yields and USD strength that pressured GC futures from recent $4,800 highs toward current $4,725 levels. Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz talks, provide counterbidding, but inflation persistence dominates. Key swing factor: April CPI on May 12, with hotter prints favoring lower bins amid reduced rate-cut bets, while cooler data could propel toward $5,000+. Next FOMC looms as resolution catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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