Rocket Lab (RKLB) shares have climbed sharply amid record Q1 2026 revenue of $200.3 million, up 63.5% year-over-year, driven by Electron launch cadence and Space Systems segment growth that lifted non-GAAP gross margins to 43%. The company’s $2.2 billion backlog reflects new U.S. Space Force and SDA contracts, while analyst consensus 12-month price targets cluster near $97–105 against a market capitalization exceeding $85 billion. Traders are pricing sustained revenue expansion toward $910 million annualized by year-end 2026, supported by Neutron rocket development milestones and institutional adoption signals in the small-launch sector. Key upcoming catalysts include additional Electron missions, potential regulatory approvals, and further government awards that could shift earnings visibility into 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in May 2026?
$118,900 Vol.
↑ $200
No
↑ $164
No
↑ $156
No
↑ $148
Yes
↑ $140
Yes
↑ $104
Yes
↑ $100
Yes
↑ $96
Yes
↑ $92
Yes
↑ $88
Yes
↑ $84
Yes
↑ $80
Yes
↓ 116
Yes
↓108
No
↓100
No
↓ 92
No
↓ $84
No
↓ $76
No
↓ $72
No
↓ $68
No
↓ $64
No
↓ $60
No
↓ $56
No
↓ $52
No
$118,900 Vol.
↑ $200
No
↑ $164
No
↑ $156
No
↑ $148
Yes
↑ $140
Yes
↑ $104
Yes
↑ $100
Yes
↑ $96
Yes
↑ $92
Yes
↑ $88
Yes
↑ $84
Yes
↑ $80
Yes
↓ 116
Yes
↓108
No
↓100
No
↓ 92
No
↓ $84
No
↓ $76
No
↓ $72
No
↓ $68
No
↓ $64
No
↓ $60
No
↓ $56
No
↓ $52
No
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Rocket Lab (RKLB) shares have climbed sharply amid record Q1 2026 revenue of $200.3 million, up 63.5% year-over-year, driven by Electron launch cadence and Space Systems segment growth that lifted non-GAAP gross margins to 43%. The company’s $2.2 billion backlog reflects new U.S. Space Force and SDA contracts, while analyst consensus 12-month price targets cluster near $97–105 against a market capitalization exceeding $85 billion. Traders are pricing sustained revenue expansion toward $910 million annualized by year-end 2026, supported by Neutron rocket development milestones and institutional adoption signals in the small-launch sector. Key upcoming catalysts include additional Electron missions, potential regulatory approvals, and further government awards that could shift earnings visibility into 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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