Skip to main content
Market icon

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Apr 21

Apr 21

Untold: Jail Blazers 49%

A Quiet Place Part II 48%

Thrash 6%

Beast 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Untold: Jail Blazers 49%

A Quiet Place Part II 48%

Thrash 6%

Beast 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW
Will "Untold: Jail Blazers" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? icon

Untold: Jail Blazers

$639 Vol.

40%

Will "A Quiet Place Part II" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? icon

A Quiet Place Part II

$6 Vol.

25%

Will "Thrash" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? icon

Thrash

$12 Vol.

6%

Will "Beast" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? icon

Beast

$15 Vol.

5%

Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? icon

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$180 Vol.

9%

Will "Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? icon

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$226 Vol.

1%

Will "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? icon

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$125 Vol.

1%

Will "Black and Blue" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? icon

Black and Blue

$132 Vol.

1%

Will "Anaconda" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? icon

Anaconda

$493 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus favors Untold: Jail Blazers as the #2 US Netflix movie this week at 40% implied probability, driven by its explosive debut on April 14 following weeks of NBA playoff buzz around the Portland Trail Blazers' infamous "Jail Blazers" era, quickly climbing daily charts to #2 behind Thrash per FlixPatrol metrics. A Quiet Place Part II holds strong at 25% after joining the catalog April 11, leveraging its 91% Rotten Tomatoes score and proven horror sequel draw amid lighter competition. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle slips to 9% after peaking earlier, while holdovers like Beast (4.5%) and Thrash (5.5%, locked as #1) trail amid shifting streaming hours. Final weekly Top 10 views (April 7-13 or current) drop Tuesday, with late-week surges possible from promotional pushes and audience engagement.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,829
End Date
Apr 21, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus favors Untold: Jail Blazers as the #2 US Netflix movie this week at 40% implied probability, driven by its explosive debut on April 14 following weeks of NBA playoff buzz around the Portland Trail Blazers' infamous "Jail Blazers" era, quickly climbing daily charts to #2 behind Thrash per FlixPatrol metrics. A Quiet Place Part II holds strong at 25% after joining the catalog April 11, leveraging its 91% Rotten Tomatoes score and proven horror sequel draw amid lighter competition. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle slips to 9% after peaking earlier, while holdovers like Beast (4.5%) and Thrash (5.5%, locked as #1) trail amid shifting streaming hours. Final weekly Top 10 views (April 7-13 or current) drop Tuesday, with late-week surges possible from promotional pushes and audience engagement.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,829
End Date
Apr 21, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Untold: Jail Blazers" at 40%, followed by "A Quiet Place Part II" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Untold: Jail Blazers" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "A Quiet Place Part II" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.