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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Apr 21

Apr 21

Thrash 92%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 49%

Anaconda 45%

Black and Blue 44%

Polymarket
NEW

Thrash 92%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 49%

Anaconda 45%

Black and Blue 44%

Polymarket
NEW
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Thrash

$585 Vol.

92%

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The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$84 Vol.

49%

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Anaconda

$84 Vol.

45%

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Black and Blue

$85 Vol.

44%

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Beast

$85 Vol.

43%

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Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$84 Vol.

21%

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A Quiet Place Part II

$85 Vol.

3%

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Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$85 Vol.

2%

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Untold: Jail Blazers

$85 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash's blockbuster debut on Netflix April 10 has crushed the competition, surging to #1 on global top 10 charts with a commanding 37.7 million views this week—over five times the 7.3 million for #2 The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson and dwarfing holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle. This shark-fueled survival thriller starring Phoebe Dynevor, Whitney Peak, and Djimon Hounsou thrives on bingeable disaster vibes despite lackluster Rotten Tomatoes scores, dominating in 90 countries via strong algorithmic promotion and word-of-mouth. Traders' 92% implied probability underscores this skin-in-the-game consensus on its week-long reign. Realistic upsets hinge on weekend viewership flips for catalog favorites like Anaconda or Beast, but Thrash's momentum points to sustained leadership through chart close.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,261
End Date
Apr 21, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash's blockbuster debut on Netflix April 10 has crushed the competition, surging to #1 on global top 10 charts with a commanding 37.7 million views this week—over five times the 7.3 million for #2 The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson and dwarfing holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle. This shark-fueled survival thriller starring Phoebe Dynevor, Whitney Peak, and Djimon Hounsou thrives on bingeable disaster vibes despite lackluster Rotten Tomatoes scores, dominating in 90 countries via strong algorithmic promotion and word-of-mouth. Traders' 92% implied probability underscores this skin-in-the-game consensus on its week-long reign. Realistic upsets hinge on weekend viewership flips for catalog favorites like Anaconda or Beast, but Thrash's momentum points to sustained leadership through chart close.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,261
End Date
Apr 21, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thrash" at 92%, followed by "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is "Thrash" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.