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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Swapped 100.0%

Apex <1%

Roommates <1%

180 <1%

Polymarket

$17,800 Vol.

Swapped 100.0%

Apex <1%

Roommates <1%

180 <1%

Polymarket

$17,800 Vol.

Apex

$1,331 Vol.

No

Swapped

$9,545 Vol.

Yes

Roommates

$1,443 Vol.

No

180

$523 Vol.

No

Bugonia

$1,222 Vol.

No

Ari Shaffer: Jew

$704 Vol.

No

Thrash

$557 Vol.

No

Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir

$1,329 Vol.

No

Den of Thieves

$640 Vol.

No

The Proposal

$506 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Swapped commands a unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for #2 on Netflix's US weekly movies chart, fueled by its blockbuster debut on May 1 as a Skydance Animation family comedy voiced by Michael B. Jordan. The body-swap tale racked up 15.5 million global views in its partial-week run (Apr. 28–May 4), securing second place behind Apex's holdover at 40.2 million per official Tudum metrics, while surging past Roommates and Thrash amid strong weekend streaming for animated fare. Family appeal and promotional buzz have locked in its trajectory with the week nearly complete. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented late-week explosion from holdovers like Apex or The Proposal, though current metrics render that improbable as final tallies firm up next Tuesday.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$17,800
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Swapped commands a unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for #2 on Netflix's US weekly movies chart, fueled by its blockbuster debut on May 1 as a Skydance Animation family comedy voiced by Michael B. Jordan. The body-swap tale racked up 15.5 million global views in its partial-week run (Apr. 28–May 4), securing second place behind Apex's holdover at 40.2 million per official Tudum metrics, while surging past Roommates and Thrash amid strong weekend streaming for animated fare. Family appeal and promotional buzz have locked in its trajectory with the week nearly complete. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented late-week explosion from holdovers like Apex or The Proposal, though current metrics render that improbable as final tallies firm up next Tuesday.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$17,800
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Swapped" at 100%, followed by "Apex" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $17.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Swapped" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apex" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.