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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Apr 14

Apr 14

Thrash 76%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 23%

IF <1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,980 Vol.

Thrash 76%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 23%

IF <1%

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,980 Vol.

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Thrash

$9,261 Vol.

76%

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Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$885 Vol.

23%

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IF

$847 Vol.

<1%

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The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$791 Vol.

<1%

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Black and Blue

$687 Vol.

<1%

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Beast

$734 Vol.

<1%

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Anaconda

$691 Vol.

<1%

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Madagascar

$705 Vol.

<1%

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Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$380 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash leads Polymarket trader consensus at 76% implied probability as Netflix's fresh survival thriller—starring Phoebe Dynevor, Whitney Peak, and Djimon Hounsou—premiered April 10, unleashing a Category 5 hurricane-shark hybrid primed for explosive debut streaming views amid peak promotional buzz and genre appeal. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle holds the current daily top spot after five days on U.S. movie charts, fueling its 21.5% odds through sustained family-friendly momentum, but traders anticipate Thrash's new-release surge to claim the weekly Netflix Top 10 U.S. movies crown, typically dominated by originals in their launch frame. Mixed early reviews (Metacritic 47) pose minimal barrier against holdover competition like IF and Beast, with the key chart update expected mid-week.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$14,980
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Thrash leads Polymarket trader consensus at 76% implied probability as Netflix's fresh survival thriller—starring Phoebe Dynevor, Whitney Peak, and Djimon Hounsou—premiered April 10, unleashing a Category 5 hurricane-shark hybrid primed for explosive debut streaming views amid peak promotional buzz and genre appeal. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle holds the current daily top spot after five days on U.S. movie charts, fueling its 21.5% odds through sustained family-friendly momentum, but traders anticipate Thrash's new-release surge to claim the weekly Netflix Top 10 U.S. movies crown, typically dominated by originals in their launch frame. Mixed early reviews (Metacritic 47) pose minimal barrier against holdover competition like IF and Beast, with the key chart update expected mid-week.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$14,980
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thrash" at 76%, followed by "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Thrash" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.