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What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Apr 14

Apr 14

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 62%

Anaconda 29%

Thrash 25%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 24%

Polymarket
NEW

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson 62%

Anaconda 29%

Thrash 25%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 24%

Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$0 Vol.

62%

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Anaconda

$380 Vol.

29%

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Thrash

$0 Vol.

25%

Market icon

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$1 Vol.

24%

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Beast

$0 Vol.

21%

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IF

$1 Vol.

11%

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Madagascar

$1 Vol.

3%

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Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$14 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Black and Blue

$1 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus favors The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson as the #2 global Netflix movie this week at 50% implied probability, driven by its blockbuster true crime documentary debut—topping charts last week with 6.7 million views before settling at #3—fueled by buzz from its South by Southwest premiere and gripping cyclist murder narrative that sustains viewer engagement beyond initial hype. Anaconda's dominant #1 position (9.9 million views) with remake nostalgia leaves room for slippage, boosting its 29% #2 odds, while Thrash surges on fresh positive reviews for its hurricane-shark thriller visuals starring Phoebe Dynevor, hitting 25%. Catalog holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (24.5%) and Beast (22%) show evergreen appeal amid Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom's expected post-debut fade from #2. Next chart drop expected Monday could shift trajectories based on weekend streaming metrics.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$399
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus favors The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson as the #2 global Netflix movie this week at 50% implied probability, driven by its blockbuster true crime documentary debut—topping charts last week with 6.7 million views before settling at #3—fueled by buzz from its South by Southwest premiere and gripping cyclist murder narrative that sustains viewer engagement beyond initial hype. Anaconda's dominant #1 position (9.9 million views) with remake nostalgia leaves room for slippage, boosting its 29% #2 odds, while Thrash surges on fresh positive reviews for its hurricane-shark thriller visuals starring Phoebe Dynevor, hitting 25%. Catalog holdovers like Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (24.5%) and Beast (22%) show evergreen appeal amid Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom's expected post-debut fade from #2. Next chart drop expected Monday could shift trajectories based on weekend streaming metrics.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$399
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 62%, followed by "Anaconda" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" is "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Anaconda" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.