Market icon

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Apr 14

Apr 14

IF 43%

Thrash 40%

Beast 37%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 31%

Polymarket
NEW

IF 43%

Thrash 40%

Beast 37%

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 31%

Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

IF

$0 Vol.

43%

Market icon

Thrash

$0 Vol.

40%

Market icon

Beast

$0 Vol.

37%

Market icon

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

$0 Vol.

31%

Market icon

The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$5 Vol.

16%

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Black and Blue

$0 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Anaconda

$12 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Madagascar

$36 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Untold: The Death & Life of Lamar Odom

$36 Vol.

2%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Beast's explosive two-day surge to #1 on Netflix's daily US movies chart has intensified competition for the #2 weekly slot, with trader consensus splitting implied probabilities evenly—Beast and IF at 46.5%, Black and Blue and Thrash at 44.5%, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle close behind at 43%. Holdover family hits like Jumanji and Madagascar (up +2 to #4 daily) battle rising action thrillers such as Black and Blue (jumping +3 to #5) and potential late-week bingers like IF, whose kid-friendly appeal could spark weekend streaming spikes. Key differentiators include recency momentum for newcomers versus proven viewer retention for catalog staples, amid volatile metrics ahead of the official weekly tally.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$89
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Beast's explosive two-day surge to #1 on Netflix's daily US movies chart has intensified competition for the #2 weekly slot, with trader consensus splitting implied probabilities evenly—Beast and IF at 46.5%, Black and Blue and Thrash at 44.5%, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle close behind at 43%. Holdover family hits like Jumanji and Madagascar (up +2 to #4 daily) battle rising action thrillers such as Black and Blue (jumping +3 to #5) and potential late-week bingers like IF, whose kid-friendly appeal could spark weekend streaming spikes. Key differentiators include recency momentum for newcomers versus proven viewer retention for catalog staples, amid volatile metrics ahead of the official weekly tally.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$89
End Date
Apr 14, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "IF" at 43%, followed by "Thrash" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "IF" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Thrash" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.