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Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in April?

icon for What will Trump say in April?
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in April?

$285,096 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$285,096 Vol.

Polymarket

N Word

$75,176 Vol.

No

Reverse Migration

$562 Vol.

Yes

White House Doctor

$1,600 Vol.

No

Love Trump / Loves Trump

$3,446 Vol.

No

RINO / Republican in Name Only

$9,123 Vol.

No

Trump Was Right About Everything

$3,124 Vol.

No

Discombobulator / Discombobulated

$10,129 Vol.

Yes

Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov

$2,249 Vol.

No

Peacefully and Patriotically

$3,801 Vol.

No

Kennedy Center

$2,634 Vol.

No

Jesus

$5,535 Vol.

Yes

Dog

$14,861 Vol.

Yes

Gulf of Trump

$20,332 Vol.

Yes

America Last

$2,286 Vol.

No

Operation Epic Fury

$3,440 Vol.

Yes

Toronto

$2,108 Vol.

No

Our great First Lady

$1,179 Vol.

Yes

Trump Time

$1,093 Vol.

No

Big League

$2,232 Vol.

No

Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen

$1,288 Vol.

No

Palestine

$4,008 Vol.

No

Two Genders

$3,274 Vol.

Yes

United States Armed Forces

$621 Vol.

Yes

Maduro

$1,136 Vol.

Yes

MVP

$1,447 Vol.

Yes

Cocktail

$612 Vol.

No

Dead by June

$2,083 Vol.

No

Kim Jong Un

$3,860 Vol.

Yes

Fuck / Fucking / Fucked

$12,225 Vol.

No

Coward

$3,319 Vol.

No

Mustache

$3,524 Vol.

No

Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomeini

$6,376 Vol.

Yes

Braggadocious

$6,885 Vol.

No

Paper Clip

$4,378 Vol.

No

Mar-a-Lago

$11,501 Vol.

Yes

Sovereign / Sovereignty

$7,437 Vol.

Yes

Gulf of America

$8,770 Vol.

Yes

Six Seven

$28,120 Vol.

Yes

Gay

$2,167 Vol.

Yes

Crooked

$571 Vol.

Yes

Disgusting

$6,583 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's public addresses in April 2026 centered on Operation Epic Fury, the ongoing U.S. military campaign against Iran, driving trader consensus toward low implied probabilities for him uttering listed phrases like "RINO," "coward," "big league," or profanities. His April 1 primetime national address vowed a swift mission completion, highlighted economic impacts such as falling gas prices, and hinted at regime change without ad-libbing signature rhetoric. Subsequent White House remarks on April 23 and 25 reinforced foreign policy priorities amid the conflict's de-escalation signals. With the April 30 deadline passed, markets await UMA oracle review of final transcripts for resolution, as verified audio shows no matches for controversial terms amid national security focus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$285,096
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's public addresses in April 2026 centered on Operation Epic Fury, the ongoing U.S. military campaign against Iran, driving trader consensus toward low implied probabilities for him uttering listed phrases like "RINO," "coward," "big league," or profanities. His April 1 primetime national address vowed a swift mission completion, highlighted economic impacts such as falling gas prices, and hinted at regime change without ad-libbing signature rhetoric. Subsequent White House remarks on April 23 and 25 reinforced foreign policy priorities amid the conflict's de-escalation signals. With the April 30 deadline passed, markets await UMA oracle review of final transcripts for resolution, as verified audio shows no matches for controversial terms amid national security focus.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$285,096
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 41+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Reverse Migration" at 100%, followed by "Discombobulator / Discombobulated" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in April?" has generated $285.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in April?," browse the 41+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in April?" is "Reverse Migration" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Discombobulator / Discombobulated" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.