Amid escalating tensions from the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and a fragile ceasefire, U.S.-Iran delegations held their first direct talks since hostilities began, meeting in Islamabad on April 10-11 with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Vice President JD Vance facing Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; the session ended without agreement on nuclear curbs or shipping access. President Trump signaled a second round could occur within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan again, boosting trader focus on whether key U.S. figures like Kushner or Witkoff secure in-person diplomatic engagements before April 30 amid ongoing backchannel efforts by Oman, Egypt, and Qatar to avert further military escalation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Apr 30, 2026
Donald Trump
4%
J.D. Vance
66%
Marco Rubio
31%
Jared Kushner
67%
Steve Witkoff
69%
$174 Vol.
Donald Trump
$32 Vol.
4%
J.D. Vance
$93 Vol.
66%
Marco Rubio
$0 Vol.
31%
Jared Kushner
$11 Vol.
67%
Steve Witkoff
$38 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid escalating tensions from the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and a fragile ceasefire, U.S.-Iran delegations held their first direct talks since hostilities began, meeting in Islamabad on April 10-11 with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Vice President JD Vance facing Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; the session ended without agreement on nuclear curbs or shipping access. President Trump signaled a second round could occur within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan again, boosting trader focus on whether key U.S. figures like Kushner or Witkoff secure in-person diplomatic engagements before April 30 amid ongoing backchannel efforts by Oman, Egypt, and Qatar to avert further military escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$174End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid escalating tensions from the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and a fragile ceasefire, U.S.-Iran delegations held their first direct talks since hostilities began, meeting in Islamabad on April 10-11 with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Vice President JD Vance facing Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; the session ended without agreement on nuclear curbs or shipping access. President Trump signaled a second round could occur within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan again, boosting trader focus on whether key U.S. figures like Kushner or Witkoff secure in-person diplomatic engagements before April 30 amid ongoing backchannel efforts by Oman, Egypt, and Qatar to avert further military escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$174End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating tensions from the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and a fragile ceasefire, U.S.-Iran delegations held their first direct talks since hostilities began, meeting in Islamabad on April 10-11 with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner alongside Vice President JD Vance facing Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi; the session ended without agreement on nuclear curbs or shipping access. President Trump signaled a second round could occur within days, potentially hosted by Pakistan again, boosting trader focus on whether key U.S. figures like Kushner or Witkoff secure in-person diplomatic engagements before April 30 amid ongoing backchannel efforts by Oman, Egypt, and Qatar to avert further military escalation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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